Sale 1:

Sold for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390862579#!/compare/1736899200/1737417600 - Near ID: 15374526822

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043576432#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/item/13084860932

= 13 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1733702400/1733788800 - Near ID: 15219221755

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302774496#!/compare/1733702400/1733788800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Starlight%20Haze%20Bulb%20Bonnet&at=2025-02-25T13:07:33.372Z - Confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13029174618

= 11 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 10 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1733702400/1733788800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029367392#!/compare/1733443200/1733788800

https://backpack.tf/item/12944826001

= 10 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1739491200/1739577600 - Near ID: 15454218705

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357911960#!/compare/1738713600/1740441600

https://backpack.tf/item/13216989675

= 10 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324934405#!/compare/1735776000/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199588449433#!/compare/1731369600/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/item/12479342755

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198806058326#!/compare/1735171200/1735689600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1735344000/1735430400

https://backpack.tf/item/12467130728

Untraceable/Bulk

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1735776000/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1735776000/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/item/12467130728

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199657117080#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/item/12413923255

Bulk

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1732579200/1732665600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066191563#!/compare/1732579200/1732838400

https://backpack.tf/item/13216989675

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066191563#!/compare/1737676800/1737849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1737763200/1737849600

https://backpack.tf/item/13216989675

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/14987411638 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14108311783 - transfer

https://backpack.tf/item/12563957452 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/12554037651 - DMarket

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31335;5;u278

$29.99, Jan 23rd

$27.77, Feb 1st

Couldn’t find the histories

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.76, Jan 23rd

$1.80, Feb 1st

29.99/1.76 = 17.04, rounds to 17 keys

27.77/1.8 = 15.428, rounds to 15 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/zGNgzx7.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14108311783 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12467130728 - 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13084860932 - 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12416666586 - 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12411318943 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13216989675 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12944826001 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14987411638 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12556037048 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12422559486 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13029174618 - marketplace

Sales at:

10 (2x)

11

13

15 (marketplace)

17 (marketplace)

The marketplace sales look like outliers, especially with the current sellers both on the classifieds and back on marketplace. Excluding 15 and 17, though they will support excluding 13 despite the 11 key seller.

Taking 10-13 keys.