hi

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/15425971636

Untrace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/15390627594

Untrace

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/15354446322

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104559253#!/compare/1737417600/1737504000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070547259#!/compare/1736380800/1737936000

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070547259#!/compare/1738454400/1740873600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1738368000/1738454400

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1739059200/1739145600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019864333#!/compare/1738195200/1739145600

13 keys match

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/15346242574

Excluding trades with scammers

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184888482#!/compare/1738972800/1739404800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1738886400/1738972800

5 keys match, then qs.store shuffling

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1739664000/1739750400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198981913112#!/compare/1739491200/1739750400

Untrace

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/15345906777

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117384982#!/compare/1737331200/1737590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834826653#!/compare/1737158400/1737504000

15 keys, the keys match histories with STN which is where buyer sold their Tropical Thrill Throttlehead (https://backpack.tf/item/13095680342)

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/15277157684

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160517725#!/compare/1736899200/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277510362#!/compare/1738454400/1740528000

weird, looks like account transfer?

Could also be gambling looking at histories of other items

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/15275951630

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415920795#!/compare/1724371200/1736467200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074847760#!/compare/1735948800/1736640000

Sold for:

Balloonihoodie ~5 keys

Taunt: Texas Twirl 'Em ~1 key

8 keys

5 + 1 + 8 = 14 keys

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/15274664749

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103405324#!/compare/1735430400/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1736035200/1736121600

Untrace

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1736467200/1736553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026605090#!/compare/1736553600/1736726400

Untrace

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/15271148446

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000618537#!/compare/1734912000/1735257600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198366281659#!/compare/1733529600/1736294400

Untrace

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/15255739453

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995254202#!/compare/1734566400/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1736035200/1736121600

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199162315630#!/compare/1736899200/1739232000

Untrace

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/15254512449

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160080788#!/compare/1736294400/1738281600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054002248#!/compare/1739577600/1740787200

Untrace

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/15251206766

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1738022400/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1737849600/1738108800

Untrace

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1738108800/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827500419#!/compare/1738108800/1738281600

Untrace

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/15245248494

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074951180#!/compare/1734307200/1734393600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012083171#!/compare/1721433600/1738022400

Untrace

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/15244254838

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199080709782#!/compare/1735948800/1736985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168784374#!/compare/1722643200/1737504000

15 keys, those keys match at the top of the sellers compare

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168784374#!/compare/1739404800/1739750400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116184902#!/compare/1739577600/1739836800

11 keys match

Item 15

https://backpack.tf/item/15238285626

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211032379#!/compare/1734825600/1736208000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1734739200/1734825600

Untrace

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1735171200/1735257600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081851169#!/compare/1735084800/1735257600

Untrace

Item 16

https://backpack.tf/item/15235156920

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115013990#!/compare/1735257600/1735344000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1735257600/1735344000

10 keys 1 ref

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1735430400/1735516800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197172151#!/compare/1735430400/1735516800

20 keys

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u370

Jan 22nd - $29.99 / $1.77 = 16.94 keys

Keys at the time:

Jan 19th - $1.78

Jan 20th - $1.78

Jan 21st - $1.77

Jan 22nd - $1.76

Jan 23rd - $1.76

Jan 24th - $1.75

Jan 25th - $1.77

(1.78 + 1.78 + 1.77 + 1.76 + 1.76 + 1.75 + 1.77) / 7 = 1.767

Feb 28th - $39.99 / $1.82 = 21.97 keys

Sales

13, 15, 14, 15, 11, 10, 20, 17, 22

Sales but ordered

10, 11, 13, 14, 15, 15, 17, 20, 22

[u]Current listings[/b]

https://prnt.sc/3ll97hsA-Z5e

2 weeks at 14.46 keys

2x on Marketplace at $39.99

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual%20Shining%20Bokeh%20Crimbo%20Cap

https://prnt.sc/p3hkIYKoXmZo

STN at 12 keys damn

https://prnt.sc/bxahJtE6zsnf

Buyers up to 9.74 keys

I guess 10 - 15 keys here which I don't love but oh well