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Item 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/14421936498
Sale 1:
Sold for 50 Keys (Unusual ID: "15485107423")
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1740268800/1740355200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073818313#!/compare/1740268800/1740355200
//
Item 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/12761586936
Sale 2:
Dumped for ~27 Keys (Unusual ID: "15252899341")
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215322909#!/compare/1733529600/1734480000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057187154#!/compare/1733443200/1733529600
Sale 3:
Sold for 42 Keys (Unusual ID: "15326042810")
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057187154#!/compare/1736121600/1736208000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390849063#!/compare/1736035200/1736467200
Sale 4:
28 keys 48 ref traceable
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Forever%20and%20Forever!%20Headhunter%27s%20Brim&at=2025-03-04T14:13:33.603Z - Likely 32 key 48 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390849063#!/compare/1736467200/1736985600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128182851#!/compare/1736985600/1737072000
//
Total Sales
27, 33, 42, 50
https://imgur.com/toJqWtL
Despite being dumped for lower, it doesn't make much sense to exclude 42 keys and do 50 flat with 3 lower sales
Taking 42 — 50 Keys
Unsolds:
https://backpack.tf/item/12761586936 — $94.99
https://backpack.tf/item/12211565265 — $129.99
https://backpack.tf/item/12220281041 — $129.99
New sale:
Sold for $94.99
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31313;5;u263 ~52 Keys using 1.84 for the Key value.
I think there's a fair argument to be made here to include 33, even if it's below current buyers. 42-52 (let alone 50-52) is clearly too high with two sales at much less, and 42 flat isn't exactly ideal as it did resell for less at 33. Including 33 accounts for the discrepancy here, with the low end being a bit too low, and the high end being a bit too high. Conveniently, the median for 33-52 also comes up to 42.5, achieving a similar outcome to 42 flat.
33-52 should be alright here.