Re-suggesting, new range. Newest movements in the Other Sales category (#10+) and more info added in Sale 2

Sale 1:

Sold with negligible metal for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1737763200/1737849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199252537253#!/compare/1737676800/1737763200

https://backpack.tf/item/12496932199

= 8 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199149744753#!/compare/1739750400/1739923200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1739836800/1739923200

https://backpack.tf/item/13130407391

The following sales appear to have been a bot flip + scammed, didn’t do much digging there

= 7 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 6 keys + 65.88 ref? (~7 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182110391#!/compare/1735171200/1737676800 - Near ID: 15302738691

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1735516800/1735603200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Tainted%20Frost%20Bulb%20Bonnet&at=2025-02-27T02:16:44.423Z - labelled as 6 keys + 65.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/12526257767

The exact amount of metal matches. Counting this as ~7 keys.

= 7 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 7 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212776984#!/compare/1734220800/1734480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235704407#!/compare/1734393600/1734480000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Tainted%20Frost%20Bulb%20Bonnet&at=2025-02-27T02:16:44.423Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/12453999580

= 7 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053783254#!/compare/1737072000/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/item/14667355104

Untraceable, 2 keys match

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868631711#!/compare/1736553600/1736640000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023385860#!/compare/1729555200/1738972800

https://backpack.tf/item/13605370648

Untraceable, 1 key in metal matches

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1732924800/1733011200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299129796#!/compare/1732924800/1733011200

https://backpack.tf/item/13594149705

Untraceable, 2 keys match

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299129796#!/compare/1733443200/1733529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1733702400/1733788800

https://backpack.tf/item/13594149705

Untraceable, missing info in history

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874031936#!/compare/1734739200/1740614400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1738022400/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/item/13174565455

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1735516800/1735603200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182110391#!/compare/1735171200/1737676800

https://backpack.tf/item/12526257767

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1736553600/1736640000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023385860#!/compare/1729555200/1738972800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Tainted%20Frost%20Bulb%20Bonnet&at=2025-02-27T02:16:44.423Z - labelled as 7 keys + 60 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/12526257767

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246208014#!/compare/1736640000/1736726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1736640000/1736726400

https://backpack.tf/item/12496932199

Bulk to STN

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199252537253#!/compare/1738368000/1739059200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1738281600/1738368000

https://backpack.tf/item/12496932199

Untraceable, follows the 8 key sale

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1740700800/1740787200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198852021056#!/compare/1738972800/1741132800

https://backpack.tf/item/12429153151

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199508231184#!/compare/1741046400/1741305600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1740960000/1741046400

https://backpack.tf/item/12420682544

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1740528000/1740614400

https://backpack.tf/item/13174565455

https://i.imgur.com/GyotbPC.png - listed for ~7.2 keys

Buyer unscanned, can’t confirm anything

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1740528000/1740614400

https://backpack.tf/item/12496932199

https://i.imgur.com/GyotbPC.png - listed for ~7.2 keys

Buyer unscanned, can’t confirm anything

https://backpack.tf/item/15210366248 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/12669270683 - marketplace/auction

https://backpack.tf/item/12656595950 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12510153757 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/12436218982 - account transfer

https://backpack.tf/item/12420682544 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/13130407391

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31335;5;u277

$15.99, December 14th, January 8th, February 8th & 14th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.75, Dec 14th

$1.78, Jan 8th

$1.82, Feb 8th & 14th

15.99/1.75 = 9.137, rounds to 9 keys

15.99/1.78 = 8.983, rounds to 9 keys

15.99/1.82 = 8.786, rounds to 9 keys (2x)

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/iLFl3Dd.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12436218982 - 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12420682544 - 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13042878029 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12631795447 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12516747697 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14245427672 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12453999580 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12669270683 - marketplace

Sales at:

7 (3x)

8

9 (4x, marketplace)

8 re-sold to a bot. While this normally would invalidate the sale, Mindacos suggested keeping it in the range, given other likely sales at 8 (from the history in Sale 2, as well as #7), as well as buyers at 7 keys making 7 flat too low.

The marketplace sales at 9 stray too far from the current sellers. Excluding 9.

Taking 7 flat.