Sold for 9 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199095753614#!/compare/1736035200/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/item/14972038311

= 9 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186964845#!/compare/1737936000/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1737936000/1738022400

https://backpack.tf/item/15396529567

Bulk for Steaming Brotherhood of Arms

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1738972800/1739059200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368581880#!/compare/1724716800/1739577600

https://backpack.tf/item/15396529567

Sold with ~0.5 keys in mixed for Stormy Storm Throttlehead? Not sure, not using, and almost certainly not an ideal sale to be using here.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098581262#!/compare/1735516800/1735603200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1735516800/1735603200

https://backpack.tf/item/14980311406

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1735689600/1735776000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129129424#!/compare/1734480000/1739491200

https://backpack.tf/item/14980311406

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1736035200/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101988842#!/compare/1735948800/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/item/14678900577

Untraceable/Bulk

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101988842#!/compare/1736121600/1736208000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199231088207#!/compare/1734566400/1736208000

https://backpack.tf/item/14678900577

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129129424#!/compare/1734480000/1739491200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1734393600/1734480000

https://backpack.tf/item/14649455604

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1734480000/1734566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098253202#!/compare/1734998400/1735948800

https://backpack.tf/item/14649455604

SCM/Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202208101#!/compare/1733875200/1733961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092550350#!/compare/1728864000/1735084800

https://backpack.tf/item/14149883423

Most likely the December 25th Marketplace sale

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197624825#!/compare/1740614400/1740700800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018022712#!/compare/1740009600/1741046400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Festive%20Falling%20Star%20Covert%20Covers&at=2025-03-10T10:48:29.911Z - labelled as 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14093772304

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1741219200/1741305600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1741219200/1741305600

https://backpack.tf/item/14093772304

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176244521#!/compare/1735776000/1735948800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056333287#!/compare/1735862400/1735948800

https://backpack.tf/item/13916196320

Gambling

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056333287#!/compare/1735948800/1736035200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199769207883#!/compare/1736035200/1738972800

https://backpack.tf/item/13916196320

More gambling probably

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199769207883#!/compare/1736035200/1738972800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1735948800/1736035200

https://backpack.tf/item/13916196320

Guess.

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443736463#!/compare/1734048000/1734220800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065078015#!/compare/1738713600/1739318400

https://backpack.tf/item/13915797557

SCM, can’t pinpoint the exact sale

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874598825#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/item/13881816999

Untraceable, some metal matches

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072912578#!/compare/1727136000/1735516800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197624825#!/compare/1735430400/1735516800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Festive%20Falling%20Star%20Covert%20Covers&at=2025-03-10T11:00:14.476Z - labelled as 8 keys + 51.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15298362533

51.44 ref matches. I’d be inclined to count this sale as correct, but I don’t want to rely solely on this sale, since buy orders are around this price currently.

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124819882#!/compare/1731283200/1740960000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154979325#!/compare/1734652800/1735344000

https://backpack.tf/item/14972038311

Untraceable

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154979325#!/compare/1735689600/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1735776000/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/item/14972038311

Bulk to STN for keys

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199095753614#!/compare/1736294400/1741564800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214364939#!/compare/1736294400/1736380800

https://backpack.tf/item/14972038311

Untraceable, looks like it could be ~9 keys on the buyer’s end

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214364939#!/compare/1736380800/1736467200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1736294400/1736380800

https://backpack.tf/item/14972038311

~2.5 keys match

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1738540800/1738627200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336900420#!/compare/1738281600/1738627200

https://backpack.tf/item/14972038311

Untraceable/Bulk

#23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235970306#!/compare/1737590400/1741564800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1737590400/1737763200

https://backpack.tf/item/15390280028

Bulk-ish for Terror-Watt Cozy Catchers. Better off being used there.

#24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1739404800/1739491200

https://backpack.tf/item/15390280028

Buyer unscanned

https://backpack.tf/item/14557572789 - mannco/STN

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31428;5;u321

$20.98, December 25th

$19, Jan 25th

$18.52, Feb 13th

$20.62, Feb 18th

https://backpack.tf/item/14582989306 - Feb 18th

https://backpack.tf/item/14467733241 - Feb 13th

https://backpack.tf/item/14149883423 - Most likely December 25th

https://backpack.tf/item/15134509450 - Most likely Jan 25th, given process of elimination

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

~$1.78 average, December 25th (not using exact date due to graph spike)

$1.77, Jan 25th

$1.82, Feb 13th

$1.80, Feb 18th

20.98/1.78 = 11.787, rounds to 12 keys

19/1.77 = 10.734, rounds to 11 keys

18.52/1.82 = 10.176, rounds to 10 keys

20.62/1.8 = 11.456, rounds to 11 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/7CDoQ8l.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14093772304 - 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13940005166 - 10 keys

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Festive+Falling+Star+Covert+Covers

https://i.imgur.com/F8RQgiI.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14557572789 - ~9.15 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31428;5;u321

https://backpack.tf/item/13881730191 - $20.62

Sales at:

9

10 (marketplace)

11 (2x, marketplace)

12 (marketplace)

We have a 5 month old seller at 10 keys, however, there are likely many other sales at 10 keys that are untraceable, mostly the quicksell.store ones. I’ll include up to 10 keys, but everything higher is getting excluded.

Taking 9-10 keys.