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Sale #1
https://mannco.store/item/440-circling-heart-unusual-flipped-trilby
Mannco.store sale on 3/3/25
$75.99 / $1.72 (median value at the time) = 44.2
Rounding to 44
Sale #2 (recently outdated)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/324;5;u19
Marketplace.tf sale on 1/18/25
$83.99 / $1.8 (assuming value?) = 46.7
Rounding to 47
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/item/346509709
Max head (recently priced at 32) + ~11 keys in sweets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085315617#!/compare/1744329600/1745366400
Rounding to 43
Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/item/346509709
Sold to bot, untraceable
Current sellers:
$76.32 on marketplace.tf (2x)
44 on bp.tf
Sales: 43, 44, 47
Given we cannot use mannco.store sales for suggestions, 44 is ignored. Given it's a little outdated, 47 is also ignored.
Going with 43
I dont think mannco store sales are usable, you may have to revise
I accounted for that in my final price suggestion. I only included it for extra proof but didn't use it for the final price range
The item histories on none of the items in sale 3 match, so it's more likely he dumped his items for Keys and then bought the hat with Keys. But without accurate information on exactly how many Keys, that sale won't be valid.
Even if it was valid, the two sellers on MP have been there for a while, and $76.32 is currently ~39 Keys, making 43 flat high.
You should probably just close this and wait for more sales.
Fair enough, I didn't feel great about putting this suggestion up initially