Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u289

Marketplace.tf sale on 2/27/25

$69.99 / $1.82 (median value at the time) = 38.5

Rounding to 39

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u289

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/07/25

$69.99 / $1.89 (median value at the time) = ~37.0

Rounding to 37

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15205384233

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072353381#!/compare/1742947200/1743465600

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15205384233

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137846964#!/compare/1722470400/1744588800

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/14670362673

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199114841575#!/compare/1740355200/1741564800

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/14518648368

26 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198819742552#!/compare/1746144000/1746230400

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/13780836669

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1743897600/1744416000

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/13780836669

Dumped to bots

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1744416000/1744588800

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/13629763537

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153648156#!/compare/1739836800/1742428800

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/13557051568

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051019144#!/compare/1743984000/1745193600

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/13389239589

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198971964068#!/compare/1738972800/1739145600

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/13389239589

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198971964068#!/compare/1739232000/1746057600

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/13345934604

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115841780#!/compare/1739836800/1740009600

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/13345934604

33 keys I think

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1740182400/1740268800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025034166#!/compare/1739836800/1740355200

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/13344486218

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199165920623#!/compare/1744329600/1744329600

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/13323507668

Bulk?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180923509#!/compare/1740355200/1740700800

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/13311473361

Treasure Trove Brimmed Bootlegger + Max Head (32) for Pro KS Aussie Eyelander (71)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376634142#!/compare/1739923200/1746576000

71 - 32 = 39

Taking 39

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/13311473361

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255860288#!/compare/1744761600/1746057600

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/13258058553

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122028802#!/compare/1742774400/1743724800

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/13258058553

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353388809#!/compare/1743552000/1743638400

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/13258058553

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145141444#!/compare/1726099200/1744848000

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/13248768685

29 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030395513#!/compare/1740700800/1740960000

Sale #23

https://backpack.tf/item/13248718347

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199620388738#!/compare/1738800000/1738886400

Sale #24

https://backpack.tf/item/13246212861

Dump to bots

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109161900#!/compare/1743120000/1743379200

Sale #25

https://backpack.tf/item/13244187411

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1742428800/1742774400

Sale #26

https://backpack.tf/item/13244187411

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038227634#!/compare/1742083200/1742860800

Current sellers:

$69.99 on mp.tf (10x)

$71.58 on SCM

$79.38 on SCM

$104.61 on SCM

$102.25 on SCM

30 keys on bp.tf (2x)

30.88 keys on bp.tf

34 keys on bp.tf (2x)

35 keys on bp.tf

42 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 39, 37, 26, 33, 39, 29

39 key cash sale expiring soon, multiple cheaper sellers - ignoring. Plugging rest into standard deviation calculator:

Mean = 32.8

Standard deviation = 4.8

26 falls out of the range, below buy orders anyways which supports ignoring it. 39 similarly falls out of the range.

Calling this 29 - 37