Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/7961893052

El Jefe + Frosty Flavours Wanderer's Wool for a Cuban Smoke Fire Marshall

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094975766#!/compare/1739145600/1739318400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006679800#!/compare/1739232000/1739318400

Cuban Smoke Fire Marshall mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31462;5;u336

https://backpack.tf/item/14689885705

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/26/25

$159.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 82.9

Rounding to 83

Frosty Flavours Wanderer's Wool mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31419;5;u315

https://backpack.tf/item/14030027934

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/19/25

$64.99 / $1.90 (median value at the time) = 34.2

Rounding to 34

Back to Sale #1

83 - 34 = 49

49 keys

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/7961893052

42 keys 41 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102777012#!/compare/1739491200/1739577600

Rounding 43

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/3003453393

Bulk for a Frostbite Smoking Skid Lid (use there)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041705595#!/compare/1744156800/1744243200

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/3003453393

45 keys 47 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102539721#!/compare/1744243200/1744329600

Rounding to 46

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/3003453393

45 keys 51 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102539721#!/compare/1744329600/1744416000

Rounding to 46

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/2259373569

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199160224759#!/compare/1739318400/1746230400

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/2126103305

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198391555717#!/compare/1729641600/1743811200

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/1291071992

Bulk for a spelled Miami Nights Pirate Bandana

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134397080#!/compare/1739577600/1739664000

Current sellers:

$119.99 on mp.tf (2x)

54.48 keys on bp.tf

58 keys on bp.tf (2x)

60 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 49, 43, 46, 46

43 is far enough buy orders that I will ignore it. 46, despite also being below buy orders, is a common enough selling point to be included

Final price: 46-49