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Sale #1
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u60
https://backpack.tf/item/12143424390
Marketplace.tf sale on 2/15/25
$17.99 / $1.82 (median value at the time) = 9.9
Rounding to 10
Sale #2
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u60
No history found
Marketplace.tf sale on 2/18/25
$17.99 / $1.80 (median value at the time) = ~10.0
Rounding to 10
Sale #3
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u60
No history foun
Marketplace.tf sale on 3/12/25
$17.99 / $1.85 (median value at the time) = 9.72
Rounding to 9.5
Sale #4
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u60
https://backpack.tf/item/13843556130
Marketplace.tf sale on 5/02/25
$17.99 / $1.91 (median value at the time) = 9.4
Rounding to 9.5
Sale #5
https://backpack.tf/item/15452727862
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292048881#!/compare/1740700800/1741219200
Sale #6
https://backpack.tf/item/15413468505
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199378610859#!/compare/1741564800/1746576000
Sale #7
https://backpack.tf/item/15400118245
Bulk sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319114954#!/compare/1743984000/1744070400
Sale #8
https://backpack.tf/item/15400118245
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199765492456#!/compare/1744070400/1744156800
Sale #9
https://backpack.tf/item/15400118245
1:1 for a Pyroland Nightmare Calamitous Cauldron
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198365961694#!/compare/1746316800/1746576000
Pyroland Nightmare Calamitous Cauldron mini
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31146;5;u159
https://backpack.tf/item/9305004793 (possible history)
Marketplace.tf sale on 5/11/25
$16.95 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 8.78
Rounding to 9
Final price: 9
Sale #10
https://backpack.tf/item/14303033697
Aussie Force-A-Nature for Airdog + 20 Tour of Duty tickets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206279163#!/compare/1741651200/1741737600
Valuing 2 tickets at 1 key, and the aussie at 17 keys (its current common selling point on mp.tf)
17 - 10 = 7,
Taking 7
Current sellers:
$17.99 on mp.tf (2x)
$22.71 on SCM
$29.99 on SCM
$69.00 on SCM
8.41 keys on bp.tf (2x)
Sales: 10, 10, 9.5, 9.5, 9, 7
Given the current sellers, including the full range gives the most accurate price suggestion, accounting for its fluctuating value.
Final price: 7-10
The 7 key sale isn't valid here as the Airdog is less than 50% of the trade's value.
There may be new sales for you to check here. If there aren't any valid ones, I would use the unsolds at 8 keys as the low-end and go 8-10 if all else fails.