Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

22 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1740182400/1740268800 (ID: 15482616363)

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Sold for a Stormy Storm Modest Metal Pile of Scrap + 2.5 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199224183862#!/compare/1740268800/1740355200 (ID: 15485343418)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199063684992#!/compare/1740268800/1740355200

Stormy Storm Modest Metal Pile of Scrap mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30001;5;u29

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/12/25

$42.99 / $1.85 (median value at the time) = 23.2

Back to Sale #2

23.2 + 2.5 = 25.7

Rounding to 26

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Sold for an aussie spec ks Force-A-Nature (~16) + 6 keys + Unusual Taunt: Soldier's Requiem Unusualifier (~3)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199063684992#!/compare/1742169600/1744156800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1742083200/1742256000

16 + 6 + 3 = 25

25

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Bulk trade

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1742860800/1742947200

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1743120000/1743206400

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Sold for a Violet Vortex Bat Hat + Haunted Ghosts Head Hedge

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199071330373#!/compare/1745539200/1745625600 (ID: 15675947586)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155103667#!/compare/1485475200/1745539200

Violet Vortex Bat Hat mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31058;5;u131

Can't locate history

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/21/25

$39.99 / $1.90 (median value at the time) = 21.1

Rounding to 21

Haunted Ghosts Head Hedge mini

https://backpack.tf/item/7435468979

15 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1741478400/1742342400 (ID: 15551093125)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198426136697#!/compare/1741478400/1742083200

Back to Sale #6

15 + 21 = 36

36

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Sold for 17 keys 38.66 ref + a Flurry Rush Elf Defense

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155103667#!/compare/1745971200/1746057600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1746057600/1746144000

Flurry Rush Elf Defense mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31256;5;u215

https://backpack.tf/item/10998533512

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/28/25

$15.95 / $1.87 (median value at the time) = 8.5

8.5

Back to Sale #7

17 + 0.5 (38.66 ref) + 8.5 = 26

26

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/12178683352

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1746144000/1746230400

Current sellers:

$66.99 on mp.tf

$45.88 on mannco.store

$133.47 on SCM

Sales: 22, 26, 25, 36, 26

Calling 36 an outlier considering sellers and sales

Final price: 22 - 26