Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/15126713845

26 keys (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1739232000/1739318400 (ID: 15445575403)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186964845#!/compare/1738627200/1739318400

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15577174189

25 keys 50.88 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385995093#!/compare/1741564800/1742860800 (Untraceable)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1742774400/1742860800

Rounding to 26

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15575696678

25 keys 50.88 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042713317#!/compare/1741910400/1742860800 (ID: 15575696678)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1742601600/1742688000

Rounding to 26

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15538701468

25 keys 39.66 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1741564800/1741564800/nearest

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199242236197#!/compare/1741737600/1741824000 (Untraceable)

Rounding to 26

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/15529442221

25 keys 38.55 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370673794#!/compare/1731542400/1741478400 (ID: 15529442221)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102237820#!/compare/1741392000/1741478400

Rounding to 25

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/15464900567

23 keys 9.88 ref

Completely untraceable, expiring soon, not using

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/14164873407

Sold for an Aussie spec ks FaN (~15.5) + Vintage Killstreak Lugermorph (14.5) + ~3 keys in sweets

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1743120000/1743206400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199229363517#!/compare/1742947200/1743206400

15.5 + 14.5 + 3 = 33

33

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/14164873407

Sold for a Circling TF Logo Executioner

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199229363517#!/compare/1743206400/1743552000 (ID: 15590621623)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1743206400/1743206400/nearest

Circling TF Logo Executioner mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/921;5;u11

https://backpack.tf/item/7864728361

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/30/25

$49.99 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = ~26.0

Rounding to 26

Back to Sale #8

26

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/14164873407

Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Spooky Head-Bouncers + Circling Heart Missing Piece

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200 (ID: 15723661225)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051528533#!/compare/1746748800/1746921600

Blizzardy Storm Spooky Head-Bouncers mini

13 keys 61.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1743465600/1743724800 (Key ID: 15602730395)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1743465600/1743465600/nearest

Rounding to 13

Circling Heart Missing Piece mini

Missing Piece + 45.66 ref for a Cloud 9 Professional's Panama

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1738022400/1738108800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051528533#!/compare/1737676800/1738108800

Cloud 9 Professional's Panama mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/109;5;u58

Can't find history

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/10/25

$39.90 / $1.84 (median value at the time) = 21.7

Rounding to 22

Returning to Circling Heart Missing Piece mini

22 keys - 44.56 ref (rounding to 1 key) = 21

21

Returning to Sale #9

21 + 13 = 34

34

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/10964907456

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102237820#!/compare/1741478400/1741564800

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/10618823896

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109774083#!/compare/1515024000/1741651200

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/10618823896

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104062430#!/compare/1741737600/1741824000

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/9250162402

Sold for levels

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186964845#!/compare/1739404800/1739836800

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/9250162402

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199095539879#!/compare/1740528000/1740614400

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/9250162402

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1740614400/1740700800

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/7085863729

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1739577600/1739664000

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/4953751959

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1743897600/1743984000

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/4953751959

24 keys 20 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1744416000/1744502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180709573#!/compare/1744416000/1744761600

Rounding to 24

gladiator.tf Link: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20Airdog&at=2025-05-13T16:47:04.499Z

Current sellers:

$59.99 on mp.tf (3x)

28 keys 61.22 ref on STN

30 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 26, 26, 26, 26, 25, 33, 26, 34, 24

33 and 34 are disproportionately high and there are cheaper sellers. Buyers at 24.83 make 24 a low outlier. Despite there being so many sales at 26, I am still gonna include 25 as many of those sales were a result of me rounding up from things like 25.5 or 25.6.

Final price: 25 - 26