Suggestion: Haunted Kraken Airdog at 36–37 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~25 keys

haunted kraken

46 votes up

2 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 26 May 25 14:36:30 +0000 by the submitter.

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Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u257

https://backpack.tf/item/12199418235

Marketplace.tf Sale on 4/25/25

$69.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 36.3

Rounding to 36

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/12271979165

Sold for an Icestruck Wanderer's Wool + Fountain of Delight Taunt: The Road Rager

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327000560#!/compare/1741564800/1741651200 (untraceable)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199037923910#!/compare/1740355200/1741651200

Icestruck Wanderer's Wool mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31419;5;u309

https://backpack.tf/item/14417484730

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/14/25

$53.69 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = ~28.0

Rounding to 28

Fountain of Delight Taunt: The Road Rager mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31352;5;u3005

https://backpack.tf/item/14399684551

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/12/25

$17.99 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = 9.4

Rounding to 9 (for purpose of whole sale)

Back to Sale #2

28 + 9 = 37

37

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/12199418235

25 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1746144000/1746403200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271165769#!/compare/1746921600/1747094400

Current sellers:

40 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 36, 37, 25

Calling 25 an outlier, comparison links weren't clean anyways

Final price: 36 - 37

Wanderer's Wool sellers are down to 19.4, and while they may not have been that low at the time of the Airdog sale, they were ~23 Keys a month ago.

https://imgur.com/a/LAamzbs - Sellers a month ago

https://imgur.com/a/FO5JS0i + https://backpack.tf/item/14452483144 and https://backpack.tf/item/15670407659 - Current sellers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800 - There was a sale yesterday for 19 Keys

19 would work for the Wool's price because 28 is undoubtedly high now.

There's also a Road Rager seller at 6.5 that's been listed for nearly a month if not longer.

https://imgur.com/a/h2hz5x4 + https://backpack.tf/item/14950383395

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31352;5;u3005 - New sale for $16 (8 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1738108800/1738195200 - 6 Keys match here

6 Keys would work for the Rager's price with the seller suggesting even 8 is too high.

25 Keys would work as a value for sale 2. While we don't know who the buyer in sale 1 was, it was almost certainly resold for much less than 36 to Aqua, a buy order bot. None of the Keys match in sale 3 either, so we can't know what that sale was without a screenshot, but if it was close to 25, that's further reason to exclude 36.

25 flat from sale 2 would be better here.