Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/15718034054

40 keys 17.11 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073878103#!/compare/1743638400/1746316800 (untraceable)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800

Rounding to 40

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15669193489

40 keys 65 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046940275#!/compare/1745366400/1745452800 (untraceable)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1745366400/1745452800

Rounding to 41

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15653994599

Untraceable (gladiator.tf)

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15479115161

40 keys 21.66 ref (gladiator.tf)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119605251#!/compare/1739923200/1740182400 (ID: 15479115161)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119605251?time=1740248433439

Rounding to 40

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/15669193489

Untraceable (gladiator.tf)

Sale #6

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u14

https://backpack.tf/item/10714840075

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/16/25

$99.99 / $1.87 (median value at the time) = 53.5

Rounding to 54

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/15606641379

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1745798400/1745884800

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/14227915564

40 keys 43.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198961583335#!/compare/1744156800/1744329600 (ID: 15628432798)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1744329600/1744329600/nearest

Rounding to 41

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/14227915564

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143768590#!/compare/1744588800/1744675200

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/13180909674

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259774546#!/compare/1746403200/1746489600

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/13094037827

43 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043918649#!/compare/1745539200/1745712000 (ID: 15676000191)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103240774#!/compare/1745452800/1745539200

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/13094037827

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103240774#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/9030086519

Bulk sale

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060730062#!/compare/1742774400/1742860800 (ID: 15577412088)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1742860800/1742860800/nearest

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/9030086519

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1743811200/1743984000

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/5444487079

35 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073878103#!/compare/1743638400/1747094400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1746316800/1746316800/nearest

Gladiator.tf Link: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Scorching%20Flames%20Airdog&at=2025-05-13T22:24:55.767Z

Current sellers:

$99.99 on mp.tf (4x)

47 on bp.tf (2x)

Sales: 40, 41, 40, 54, 41, 43, 35

54 is disproportionately higher than sellers and other sales, making it an outlier. 35 is disproportionately lower than buyers and other sales, making it an outlier.

Final price: 40 - 43