Suggestion: Burning Flames Warhood at 79–110 keys

144 keys for Warhood + Miami Nights Noble Amassment of Hats + Pumpkin Party Sir Pumpkinton + Hard Carry Brothers in Blues (from several different sellers)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143867628#!/compare/1743897600/1743984000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1743897600/1743984000

Hard Carry Brothers in Blues mini

https://marketplace.tf/partneritem?sku=31356;5;u279&attrib=bp

Theres a mp.tf sale at ~26 keys, but current sellers are at 24.52. To make it easy, I am going to use 24.52 since the quickbuyers are close at 22+

Rounding to 25

Miami Nights Noble Amassment of Hats mini

https://backpack.tf/item/7265277302

23 keys 0.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1743897600/1743984000(ID: 15615570081)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1743984000/1743984000/nearest

Rounding to 23

Pumpkin Party Sir Pumpkinton mini

https://backpack.tf/item/12933167287

26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1740268800/1740355200 (ID: 15484130775)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984366267#!/compare/1740096000/1740355200

Back to Sale #6

144 - 25 - 23 - 26 = 70

70

Sale #7 (gladiator.tf)

https://backpack.tf/item/15688330879

79 keys 15.77 ref. We can see 79 keys move out of the buyer's inventory, proving that this gladiator.tf statistic is most likely accurate

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1745971200/1745971200/nearest

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111970399#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20Warhood&at=2025-05-22T23:37:14.347Z

Rounding to 79

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/15688330879

Untraceable (trade shows 240 keys lol)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1744243200/1744416000

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/15688330879

Sadly, can't figure out which keys went where. Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1744243200/1744329600

Current sellers:

88 keys 22.44 ref on STN

100 keys on bp.tf (2x)

$199.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$199.98 on mannco.store

$199.99 on mannco.store

$239.04 on SCM

Sales: 110, 105, 70, 79

The 70 key sale should be countered by quickbuyers, which are currently at ~80+. Keeping the 79 as it's close enough and gives an accurate range. If STN doesn't move for awhile, this may need to be taken down.

Final price: 79 - 110

forgot to mention, couldnt find history for sale #1

Couple histories here that moved recently since the suggestion was made:

https://backpack.tf/item/15836312810

https://backpack.tf/item/12130782268

https://backpack.tf/item/7331311598

For sale 6, the sale would have been excluded since the value of 70 that you ended up with is < 50% of the total trade for 144 keys.

For sale 8 here, https://backpack.tf/item/6201467654, looks like the Burning Flames Soviet was involved

For sale 9, using near ID of 15628870509 for the compare link shows that 90 keys match up

https://prnt.sc/4nxAdHNceUX1

New sellers have appeared from the above histories at:

87 keys

88 keys

3 months at 99 keys stays the same

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual%20Burning%20Flames%20Warhood

https://prnt.sc/Bl0yG9hDHdSh

STN is now all the way down to 80 keys 37.11 ref

I think the marketplace sales are obvious outliers now, it's possible with the new sales in the histories above alongside the 90 key sale in Sale 9 may be used for a new range.

Best of luck

New sales:

Sold for 74 Keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085750210#!/compare/1750032000/1750550400

Not actually properly traceable, however.

Dumped to a buyer for 76 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276210041#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

Sold for 87 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1748649600/1748736000

Untraceable buyer dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199555155995#!/compare/1748822400/1750204800

Sold for a bunch of unusuals, likely a high outlier(Could also argue it caps at whatever stn's selling price is, but I don't like that idea personally)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132908694#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

Untraceable buyer dump:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086854526#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

I agree with AJ, the marketplace sales are going to be very high now. 79-90 should be an appropriate range here, while also excluding the newer buyer dump sales below.

This suggestion was closed Tue, 24 Jun 25 12:47:51 +0000 by the submitter.