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Freebie from Shuffle Spy, thanks.
Item:
https://backpack.tf/item/7679474975
Seller:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1746489600/1746576000
Buyer:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163289648#!/compare/1746576000/1746662400
ID: 15712820494 --> 650 match
There was also a reservation payment about a month earlier for 110 keys:
https://imgur.com/a/bjwzkBu
Screenshot shows 110 but from Nekomancer's comment on the suggestion, it was supposed to be 100, so I will just cap it at the 100.
Making the total 750 keys. Taking 750 keys.