Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/11609800283

19 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1747180800/1747267200 (ID: 15737333853)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324787341#!/compare/1747180800/1747267200

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

18 keys 4 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1741219200/1741305600 (ID: 15520014896)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198391252911#!/compare/1741132800/1741305600

Rounding to 18

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

15 keys + Non-Craftable '72 Taunt: The High Five!

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198391252911#!/compare/1741392000/1741478400 (ID: 15528443623)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199589303483#!/compare/1741392000/1741478400

'72 Taunt: The High Five mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/167;5;u3004;uncraftable

https://backpack.tf/item/544472240

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/16/25

$19.00 / $1.87 (median value at the time) = 10.2

Rounding to 10

Back to Sale #3

15 + 10 = 25

25

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

1:1 for a Aces High Modest Metal Pile of Scrap

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199589303483#!/compare/1741478400/1741564800 (ID: 15532295728)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069143099#!/compare/1741478400/1741564800

Only usable mini is a mp.tf sale that is higher than current sellers at 13, so I will call this 13 (probably a low outlier anyways)

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

Untraceable / giveaway?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069143099#!/compare/1741737600/1741824000

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

Untraceable / giveaway?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001963208#!/compare/1741996800/1742083200

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336712268#!/compare/1746748800/1747180800

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/11009035622

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

Sale #9 (gladiator.tf)

https://backpack.tf/item/10998619112

15 keys 28 ref (can see keys leave buyers bp, using that as proof)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157176919#!/compare/1743552000/1743638400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1743465600/1743552000

Gladiator.tf link: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Shining%20Stag%20Cozy%20Catchers&at=2025-05-27T17:28:45.317Z

Rounding to 15

Current sellers:

$49.90 on mp.tf

$85.00 on SCM

19 keys on bp.tf (2x)

22 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 19, 18, 25, 13, 15

25 key sale is countered by current sellers. 13 key sale is gonna be called low considering consistent higher sales.

Final price: 15 - 19