Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31250;5;u212

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/06/25

$28.00 / $1.89 (median value at the time) = 14.8

Rounding to 15

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Cozy Catchers + ~2 keys in sweets for a Disco Beat Down Spooky Head-Bouncers (buyer ID: 15496156620)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043715884#!/compare/1740528000/1740700800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1740614400/1740700800

Disco Beat Down Spooky Head-Bouncers mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31209;5;u62

https://backpack.tf/item/10960777014 (maybe?)

Marketplace.tf sale on 2/25/25

$39.99 / $1.82 (assumed value) = ~22.0

Rounding to 22

Back to Sale #2

22 - 2 = 20

20

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115069409#!/compare/1740441600/1740700800

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115069409#!/compare/1743724800/1745884800

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Cozy Catchers + Vivid Plasma Undercover Brolly + 40.55 (rounding to 0.5) ref for a Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium Wrench (recent sales for ~$70.00 on SCM. $70.00 / $2.30 = 30.4)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1744416000/1744502400 (ID: 15635496535)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217304100#!/compare/1744070400/1744502400 (ID: 15635496537)

Vivid Plasma Undercover Brolly mini

https://backpack.tf/item/11940605748

11 keys 5.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081346661#!/compare/1745539200/1745625600 (ID: 15678083055)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1745539200/1745539200/nearest

Rounding to 11

The original buyer dumped his hat back to bots immediately, so I am comfortable taking using a sale to bots as a mini here.

Back to Sale #5

30.4 - 11 - 0.5 = 18.9

Rounding to 19

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Immediately dumped back to bots for unknown amount

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217304100#!/compare/1744502400/1744588800

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1746403200/1746489600

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/13824226412

Keys were immediately reused, untraceable

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800 (ID: 15717991351)

Current sellers:

$29.99 on mp.tf (2x)

Sales: 15, 20, 19

Final price: 15 - 20