Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/15428699488

25 keys 34 ref + 34 ref hat for the topper + ~4.5 keys in sweets

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1742515200/1742601600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059606622#!/compare/1742428800/1742688000

26 - 4.5 = 21.5

Rounding to 22

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15428699488

Sold for a Searing Stove Strikeout + Midnight Whirlwind Taunt: Soldier's Requiem

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059606622#!/compare/1744070400/1745020800 (ID: 15652767741)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006072870#!/compare/1744934400/1745020800

Searing Stove Strikeout mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31480;5;u360

History not found

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/22/25

$29.99 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = 15.5

Rounding to 16

Midnight Whirlwind Taunt: Soldier's Requiem mini

https://backpack.tf/item/13600452589

2 keys 7 ref (look at key history)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199686147892#!/compare/1742688000/1742774400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184287959#!/compare/1742428800/1742688000

Back to Sale #2

16 + 2 = 18

18

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15428699488

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006072870#!/compare/1745107200/1745193600

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/13199430172

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1746057600/1746144000

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/11373087543

17 keys 7.77 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307789977#!/compare/1738886400/1744675200 (ID: 15639819934)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199663649981#!/compare/1744588800/1744675200

19 keys go to catwithabat for the Circling TF Logo Headhunter's Brim, so then 17 keys must go to our seller.

Rounding to 17

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/11373087543

21 keys 25 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199663649981#!/compare/1747180800/1747267200 (ID: 15738997078)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308439257#!/compare/1747094400/1747353600 (untraceable)

Rounding to 21

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/11373087543

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308439257#!/compare/1747094400/1747353600

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/11373087543

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287425409#!/compare/1747526400/1747872000

Current sellers:

$49.99 on mp.tf

30 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 22, 18, 17, 21

https://imgur.com/a/ChlNVzq

Previously, buy orders seemed to fluctuate between 19 & 20. At the time of the sales for 21 and 22 keys, there were no higher buy orders (cannot confirm this for the other two sales). Therefore, they should be usable in this suggestion.

21 key sale buy snapshot (5/15): https://imgur.com/a/tH2V2Ds

I do not have a screenshot for the 22 key sale, but the trend would suggest that buy orders were lower

Final price: 21 - 22