Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30357;5;u58

https://backpack.tf/item/7957104489

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/09/25

$79.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 41.5

Rounding to 42

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15116038445

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1742601600/1742688000

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/11115971845

18 keys 37.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042054674#!/compare/1745971200/1746144000 (ID: 15695271101)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1746057600/1746144000

Rounding to 19

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/11115971845

28 keys 16.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1746144000/1746230400 (ID: 15700781579)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1746057600/1746144000

Rounding to 28

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/7957310164

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1747267200/1747353600

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/7957310164

43 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165452904#!/compare/1748908800/1748995200 (ID: 15802225201)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258559368#!/compare/1668297600/1748995200

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/7957310164

Sold with 10 keys for a Searing Plasma Sophisticated Smoker

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258559368#!/compare/1668297600/1748995200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269047783#!/compare/1748908800/1748995200

Searing Plasma Sophisticated Smoker mini

https://backpack.tf/item/9137629703

Sold for a Disco Beat Down Bunsen Brave + Vexed Volcanics Semi-Tame Trapper's Hat + 5 keys

Disco Beat Down Bunsen Brave mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30054;5;u62

https://backpack.tf/item/14011965934

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/20/25

$42.64 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = ~22.0

Rounding to 22

Vexed Volcanics Semi-Tame Trapper's Hat mini

https://backpack.tf/item/9365357266

15 keys 58.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346618954#!/compare/1739836800/1739923200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1739923200/1740009600

Rounding to 16

Back to Searing Plasma Sophisticated Smoker mini

22 + 16 + 5 = 43

43

Back to Sale #7

43 - 10 = 33

33

Current sellers:

$79.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$112.84 on SCM

$69.99 on mannco.store

45 keys on bp.tf (2x)

46 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 42, 19, 28, 43, 33

Buyers at 29 keys should counter the 19 and 28 key sales.

Final price: 33 - 43