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Sold for 25 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199720729271#!/compare/1744156800/1744243200
Bought for 31 keys: https://imgur.com/gallery/beloved-K9b7Q5N
Sell orders seem to range between 25-35 keys. Can't find any sold for more than 31 keys (me buying). One listed on marketplace for $69.99. Which means $62.991 (price the seller receives after marketplace seller fee) divided by $1.93 (current marketplace key price) equals 32.63 keys.
This is my first suggestion ever. Feel free to give me constructive criticism.
Glad you enjoy the hat! I bought it for 26 keys as additional proof, but you need to look at other sales as well
you can't base your high end for this on sellers
More proof:
Another sale at 30 keys?: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245424984#!/compare/1742860800/1744243200
You can't take sellers for the high end.
Resuggest at 25-31 assuming you have checked all the other sales too: https://backpack.tf/premium/search?item=Checkered%20Past&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=368&killstreak_tier=0