Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/20/25

$99.99 / $1.88 (median value at the time) = 53.2

Rounding to 53

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/23/25

$99.99 / $1.91 (median value at the time) = 52.4

Rounding to 52

Sale #3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/31/25

$99.99 / $1.91 (median value at the time) = 52.4

Rounding to 52

Sale #4

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/04/25

$99.99 / $1.88 (median value at the time) = 53.2

Rounding to 53

Sale #5

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/30/25

$99.99 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = 52.1

Rounding to 52

Sale #6

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/05/25

$99.99 / $1.95 (median value at the time) = 51.3

Rounding to 51

Sale #7

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/13/25

$99.99 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = 51.5

Rounding to 52

Sale #8

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15703900036

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/16/25

$79.99 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = 41.2

Rounding to 41

Sale #9

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15742124196

Marketplace.tf sale on 6/03/25

$69.67 / $1.97 (median value at the time) = 35.4

Rounding to 35

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/15768127814

31 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199385933343#!/compare/1748044800/1748649600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1748563200/1748736000

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/15728045102

Moved to bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080334371#!/compare/1747353600/1747872000

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/15722205056

33 keys 30.33 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1747699200/1747785600 (ID: 15758964215)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793#!/compare/1747699200/1747785600

Rounding to 33

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/15673473013

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070387328#!/compare/1745884800/1746316800

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/15673473013

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288553623#!/compare/1729209600/1749168000

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/15664530086

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155103667#!/compare/1745625600/1745884800

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/15664530086

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021859147#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/15658914412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199080372748#!/compare/1727481600/1745712000

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/15658914412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1745798400/1745884800

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/15658914412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363385291#!/compare/1746230400/1746921600

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/15658914412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199113821000#!/compare/1746748800/1747008000

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/15658914412

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108317295#!/compare/1747440000/1748649600

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/15624389996

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954#!/compare/1745971200/1748217600

Sale #23

https://backpack.tf/item/15590302585

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202254422#!/compare/1743724800/1745107200

Sale #24

https://backpack.tf/item/15590302585

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119038933#!/compare/1747180800/1747267200

Sale #25

https://backpack.tf/item/15590302585

35 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747440000/1747526400 (ID: 15747488575)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199211069231#!/compare/1746403200/1747526400

Sale #26

https://backpack.tf/item/15590302585

Bulk for a Miami Nights Yellow Belt (technically the dapper represents over 50% of the value at 130 keys, but im not gonna get into that...)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199211069231#!/compare/1747612800/1747958400

Sale #27

https://backpack.tf/item/15542687717

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1742947200/1743033600

Sale #28

https://backpack.tf/item/15539590933

42 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036523429#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103923541#!/compare/1715212800/1747008000

Sale #29

https://backpack.tf/item/15502279295

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199819654224#!/compare/1745712000/1746316800

Sale #30

https://backpack.tf/item/15502279295

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800

Sale #31

https://backpack.tf/item/15500924320

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1741392000/1741478400

Sale #32

https://backpack.tf/item/15500924320

44 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1743638400/1743724800 (ID: 15606712724)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376688367#!/compare/1739836800/1745884800

Sale #33

https://backpack.tf/item/15443527928

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042481882#!/compare/1737244800/1743379200

Sale #34

https://backpack.tf/item/15416227556

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275233925#!/compare/1748044800/1748390400

Sale #35

https://backpack.tf/item/15335768427

37 keys 3 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1742428800/1742515200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1741219200/1742601600

Rounding to 37

Sale #36

https://backpack.tf/item/15300204053

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116980911#!/compare/1745452800/1748217600

Sale #37

https://backpack.tf/item/15281068154

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218984649#!/compare/1744761600/1746921600

Sale #38

https://backpack.tf/item/15281068154

40 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1745625600/1745712000 (ID: 15681392486)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188561938#!/compare/1745280000/1747008000

Sale #39

https://backpack.tf/item/15279632627

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068835693#!/compare/1742083200/1744070400

Sale #40

https://backpack.tf/item/15279632627

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1741996800/1742083200

Sale #41

https://backpack.tf/item/15279632627

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089888542#!/compare/1742083200/1743552000

Sale #42

https://backpack.tf/item/15279632627

39 keys (key history from buyers match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1742256000/1742342400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376405743#!/compare/1742256000/1742342400

Sale #43

https://backpack.tf/item/15267672600

BP sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104061772#!/compare/1741305600/1743465600

Sale #44

https://backpack.tf/item/15267672600

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097571298#!/compare/1743552000/1744675200

Sale #45

https://backpack.tf/item/15236064556

Untraceable, key histories do not match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1747440000/1747612800

Sale #46

https://backpack.tf/item/15235398726

39 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1744416000/1744502400 (ID: 15634258332)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100309587#!/compare/1677024000/1744675200

Sale #47

https://backpack.tf/item/15235229928

Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Texas Tin-Gallon + Strange Festivized Australium Sniper Rifle

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199211069231#!/compare/1741219200/1741478400

Not doing the mini here, already high with buy orders (~50)

Sale #48

https://backpack.tf/item/15235229928

Sold for ~60 keys in mixed. Not wasting time on mini

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277210143#!/compare/1742083200/1742688000

Sale #49

https://backpack.tf/item/15235229928

Untraceable

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277210143#!/compare/1742688000/1743552000

Sale #50

https://backpack.tf/item/15235229928

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441417855#!/compare/1742688000/1747267200

Sale #51

https://backpack.tf/item/15226108090

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043728878#!/compare/1748822400/1749168000

Sale #52

https://backpack.tf/item/15226108090

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199522145204#!/compare/1748304000/1748908800

Sale #53

https://backpack.tf/item/15226108090

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199522145204#!/compare/1748304000/1748908800

Sale #54

https://backpack.tf/item/15224453352

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180719433#!/compare/1744502400/1745020800

Sale #55

https://backpack.tf/item/15224453352

39 keys 15 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1745020800/1745107200 (Key ID: 15656487342)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440304951#!/compare/1745020800/1745107200

Rounding to 39

Sale #56

https://backpack.tf/item/15224453352

Bulk for a Pumpkin Moon Hat Outta Hell

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440304951#!/compare/1747094400/1747180800

Current sellers:

$70.37 on mp.tf

$82.99 on mp.tf

$99.99 on mp.tf (3x)

$59.99 on mannco.store

$60.00 on mannco.store

$84.94 on mannco.store

$119.96 on mannco.store

$94.00 on SCM

$149.99 on SCM

$204.67 on SCM

36 keys on bp.tf

40 keys on bp.tf (3x)

41 keys on bp.tf

49 keys on bp.tf

50 keys on bp.tf

75 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 53, 52, 52, 53, 52, 51, 52, 41, 35, 31, 33, 35, 42, 44, 37, 40, 39, 39, ~50, ~60, 39

Sales for 53, 52, 52, 53, 52, 51, 52, ~50, and ~60 are from March, and this hats value has clearly dropped since then. Gonna ignore all the sales above 41 because of the numerous unsolds at 40 and below. The 36 key sale is a new listing so I will call it a quicksell and disregard for now.

Final price: 31 - 40