Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/15682195393

Bubbling Tipped Lid + 20 keys (histories match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340040018#!/compare/1742774400/1746316800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382588936#!/compare/1746230400/1746316800

Bubbling Tipped Lid mini

https://backpack.tf/item/11689995239

~13 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198436610099#!/compare/1748044800/1748131200

Back to Sale #1

20 + 13 = 33

33

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15682195393

33 keys 5.33 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382588936#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200 (ID: 15722846148)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1746835200/1746835200/nearest

Rounding to 33

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15682195393

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210697727#!/compare/1746835200/1746921600

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15671661199

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995713416#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/15671661199

24 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995713416#!/compare/1746921600/1747180800 (ID: 15733465596)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092169522#!/compare/1747094400/1747180800

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/15651605475

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133673560#!/compare/1747785600/1748304000

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/15621655644

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090272581#!/compare/1741305600/1744416000

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/15621655644

50 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090272581#!/compare/1745366400/1745798400 (ID: 15682410328)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202816899#!/compare/1745712000/1745798400

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/15492320368

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068076517#!/compare/1743552000/1743984000

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/15470886720

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1745798400/1745884800

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/15470886720

33 keys 54.33 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200 (ID: 15755438288)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1747699200/1747699200/nearest

Rounding to 34

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/15425780317

43 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199569232273#!/compare/1741478400/1741564800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308299646#!/compare/1741478400/1741564800

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/15425780317

Sold for a Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (~46) + 6 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308299646#!/compare/1742428800/1742601600 (ID: 15567750031)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199210212807#!/compare/1742515200/1742601600

Rounding to 52

Current sellers:

$129.99 on mp.tf (5x)

$99.99 on mannco.store

$94.00 on SCM

$170.17 on SCM

$189.19 on SCM

$223.38 on SCM

$230.00 on SCM

42 keys on bp.tf

45 keys on bp.tf

50 keys on bp.tf

65 keys on bp.tf

39 keys 37.33 ref on STN

Sales: 33, 33, 24, 50, 34, 43, 52

Numerous lower sellers counter the 50 and 52 key sales. STN has been unsold for three weeks, and the 42 key seller has also been unsold for several days, so I am also gonna call the 43 key sale an outlier. Buyers counter the 24 key sale.

Final price: 33 - 34