Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31211;5;u196

https://backpack.tf/item/14353180795

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/23/25

$64.44 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = 33.6

Rounding to 34

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31211;5;u196

https://backpack.tf/item/14982986175

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/31/25

$59.99 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = 30.9

Rounding to 31

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15483998296

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046940275#!/compare/1743811200/1743984000

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15118357663

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106645651#!/compare/1736640000/1747699200

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/14982986175

Bulk for a Secret to Everybody Team Captain

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139560938#!/compare/1745712000/1746057600

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/14982986175

Bulk for a Stormy Storm Bobby Bonnet

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199752553007#!/compare/1746230400/1746403200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1746316800/1746403200

Use there

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/14982986175

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1747353600/1747440000

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/14982986175

26 keys 36 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046011255#!/compare/1747526400/1747612800 (ID: 15751733470)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1747526400/1747612800

Rounding to 27

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/14353180795

Bulk for a Rainbow Reverie Brand Loyalist?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103867767#!/compare/1748563200/1748822400

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/14294736121

26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1746230400/1746316800 (ID: 15701184756)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318630991#!/compare/1746230400/1746316800

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/14294736121

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318630991#!/compare/1746403200/1746489600

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/14294736121

Topper + 40 keys for a Sunbeams Vaudeville Visor

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061880126#!/compare/1746576000/1746662400 (ID: 15715917050)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410876942#!/compare/1746576000/1746662400

Use there

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/14294736121

26 keys 58.77 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410876942#!/compare/1748995200/1749340800 (ID: 15816399555)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1749340800/1749340800/nearest

Rounding to 27

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/13582550642

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199211246710#!/compare/1724803200/1744243200

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/13582550642

28 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1745020800/1745107200 (ID: 15656661884)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443370407#!/compare/1745107200/1745193600

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/13582550642

23 keys 3.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443370407#!/compare/1745107200/1745193600 (ID: 15659743772)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1745193600/1745193600/nearest

Rounding to 23

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/13582550642

Sold with 7 keys for a Circling Peace Sign Tyrant's Helm

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1745452800/1745539200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199474485029#!/compare/1745452800/1745971200

Just gonna take buyers since this sale is high no matter what (41)

41 - 7 = 34

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/13582550642

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199474485029#!/compare/1745971200/1746489600

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/13582550642

25 keys 12 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1749254400/1749340800 (ID: 15817727272)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199275171792#!/compare/1749168000/1749340800

Rounding to 25

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/12125326549

24 keys 40.88 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1743811200/1743897600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198347845638#!/compare/1744243200/1744329600

Rounding to 25

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/10744312211

Sold for a Massed Flies Twisted Topper + Runic Imprisonment Taunt: The Schadenfreude + Professional Killstreak Wanga Prick (~3)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1741737600/1741824000 (ID: 15540080654)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353285318#!/compare/1741651200/1743552000

Runic Imprisonment Taunt: The Schadenfreude mini

https://backpack.tf/item/11944930601

26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200 (ID: 15722108923)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199469944002#!/compare/1746662400/1747267200

No usable mini for the Massed Flies Twisted Topper, using generic SCM buyers at ~11 keys

Back to Sale #21

26 + 11 + 3 = 40

40

Current sellers:

$59.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$69.99 on mp.tf (3x)

$67.00 on mannco.store

$73.16 on SCM

$113.73 on SCM

27 keys on bp.tf

28.74 keys on bp.tf (3x)

28.76 keys on bp.tf

29 keys on bp.tf

32 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 34, 31, 27, 26, 27, 28, 23, 34, 25, 25, 40

Ignoring 23 key sale which is beneath buyers and disproportionately low. Ignoring the sales at 34 keys and above due to lots of lower sellers. Most of the new sellers below between 28 and 31 are on the newer side, so I will include 31 to account for several high end sales and to provide an accurate range.

Final price: 25 - 31