Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31282;5;u243

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/14/25

$70.95 / $1.85 (median value at the tie) = 38.4

Rounding to 38

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31282;5;u243

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/21/25

$70.95 / $1.92 (median value at the tie) = ~37.0

Rounding to 37

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15598301267

28 keys (7 were used to buy the crusaders crossbow, histories check out)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199058945376#!/compare/1743984000/1744243200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199260048991#!/compare/1744243200/1744156800

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/12094876902

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182060815#!/compare/1745020800/1747440000

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/12094876902

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1748476800/1748649600

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/12094876902

29 keys 37 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1749513600/1749686400 (ID: 15829256447)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1749513600/1749427200

Rounding to 30

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/12005108200

Untraceable, near ID shows 92 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1742774400/1742860800

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/12005108200

Bulk for a Stardust Pathway Hat Outta Hell

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199717896625#!/compare/1748995200/1749772800

Use there

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/11985391963

Untraceable, keys moved too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199012585547#!/compare/1744588800/1745280000

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/11985391963

32 keys 75.33 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1749340800/1749427200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169933146#!/compare/1749340800/1749427200

Rounding to 33

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/11984982438

Untraceable, keys used too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051780941#!/compare/1743552000/1743638400

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/11927825681

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1744416000/1744502400

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/11927825681

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1746576000/1746662400

Gladiator.tf stats:

29 keys 24 ref on 5/28/25 (rounding to 29)

28 keys 30 ref on 4/03/25 (rounding to 28)

30 keys 11.44 ref on 3/16/25 (rounding to 30)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Cold%20Cosmos%20Throttlehead&at=2025-06-13T04:21:35.903Z

Current sellers:

$70.95 on mp.tf (6x)

33 keys on bp.tf (2x)

33.49 keys on bp.tf

34 keys on bp.tf (2x)

38 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 38, 37, 28, 30, 33, 29, 28, 30

Marketplace.tf sales (38 and 37) are countered by lots of cheaper sellers. Current buyers pay 29.71, so I will ignore the 28 key sales in order to account for this and balance out disregarding the high-end sales.

Final price: 29 - 33