Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31211;5;u202

https://backpack.tf/item/15536918664

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/26/25

$39.90 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 20.7

Rounding to 21

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15409243027

1:1 for a Bubbling Vive La France (in date at 16)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1743552000/1743638400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013971873#!/compare/1743552000/1744243200

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15407902012

11 keys 0.33 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977705860#!/compare/1745107200/1745280000 (ID: 15663920282)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1745280000/1745193600

Rounding to 11

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/14680102271

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094727638#!/compare/1742688000/1743638400

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/11654272271

Bulk for a Spellbound Bone Dome

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052288791#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

Use there

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/10771021167

Dumped an aussie spec ks sniper to bots for ~31.6 keys, and then used 22.6 of those to buy the topper + ~6 keys in stuff.

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1744070400/1744156800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198965861134#!/compare/1744156800/1744243200

22.6 - 6 = 16.6

Rounding to 17

Current sellers:

$38.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$39.99 on mannco.store

$36.30 on SCM

15.60 keys on bp.tf

15.68 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 21, 16, 11, 17

Not really comfortable using the 17 key sale since a lot was going on and we assumed value for lots of things. 21 key sale is a high outlier, 11 key sale is below buyers. Current sellers would round to 16 anyways.

Final price: 16