Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31211;5;u203

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/09/25

$35.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 18.7

Rounding to 19

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31211;5;u203

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/22/25

$31.99 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = 16.5

Rounding to 17

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/10868820743

Untraceable, key histories do not match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1744243200/1744329600

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/10846277215

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199575897944#!/compare/1745020800/1745107200

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/10747313772

18 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1742860800/1742947200 (ID: 15580891940)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1742860800/1742947200

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/10747313772

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1742947200/1743033600

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/10747313772

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1747526400/1747612800

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/10747313772

Untraceable, histories don't match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199620388738#!/compare/1749340800/1749427200

Gladiator.tf stats:

14 keys on 4/11/25

15 keys 5.33 ref on 4/07/25

15 keys 5.33 ref on 4/07/25

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frightened%20Poltergeist%20Twisted%20Topper&at=2025-06-13T19:21:30.737Z

Current sellers:

$31.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$37.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$33.33 on mannco.store

$32.57 on SCM

$32.80 on SCM

$46.35 on SCM

$55.20 on SCM

$57.50 on SCM

$86.88 on SCM

13.89 keys on bp.tf

14 keys on bp.tf

18 keys on bp.tf

20 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 19, 17, 18, 14, 15, 15

The 13.89 and 14 key sellers look pretty new, with the former being less than a day old and the latter being only 4 days old. I think it should be find to use the gladiator.tf sales exclusively to price this unusual, considering the 18 key seller has been unsold for 2+ months indicating its probably high.

Final price: 14 - 15