Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30769;5;u30

https://backpack.tf/item/11301777992

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/10/25

$109.99 / $1.88 (median value at the time) = 58.5

Rounding to 59

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30769;5;u30

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/04/25

$109.99 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = 57.3

Rounding to 57

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/14945689322

Sold for 56 keys + ~7 keys in sweets (15 of the other keys went towards the strange starduster. https://backpack.tf/item/15015603077, https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199118546232#!/compare/1743292800/1743379200 (ID: 15590601903))

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199096573596#!/compare/1743033600/1743292800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1743206400/1743292800

56 + 7 = 63

63

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/14330037797

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1745625600/1745712000

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/14330037797

Bulk pure sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1745798400/1745884800

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/14168040168

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122471148#!/compare/1745020800/1745625600

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/14168040168

55 keys 52 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1745539200/1745625600 (ID: 15677719114)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1745625600/1745539200

Rounding to 56

This was pretty much instantly dumped to buyers, so I might ignore depending on other sales

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/14168040168

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1745625600/1745712000

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/8914635043

Sold for two unusual weapons

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973762910#!/compare/1748304000/1749859200 (ID: 15804645363)

Can't be mini'd

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/4913353208

69 keys 16.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200 (ID: 15723644025)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198427738639#!/compare/1746403200/1746921600

Rounding to 69

Current sellers:

$150.00 on mp.tf

71 keys on bp.tf

74 keys on bp.tf

62 keys 49.88 ref on STN

Sales: 59, 57, 63, 56, 69

Given the consistent lower sales and a current unsold for ~63 on STN, I am gonna call the 69 key sale an outlier. To balance it out, I will ignore the 56 key sale which was instantly dumped to bot buy orders.

Final price: 57 - 63