Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u341

https://backpack.tf/item/14841474337

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/16/25

$62.99 / $1.91 (median value at the time) = ~33.0

Rounding to 33

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u341

https://backpack.tf/item/14695799185

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/29/25

$64.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 33.7

Rounding to 34

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15758860043

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101441072#!/compare/1748390400/1748390400/nearest

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15476431018

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1746835200/1746921600

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/15476431018

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199134367431#!/compare/1747353600/1747440000

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/15476431018

Bought and redumped to STN on same day, not using

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143158763#!/compare/1748822400/1749168000

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/14883592619

Dumped to bots for unknown

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199156140990#!/compare/1750204800/1750291200

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/14841474337

Sold for a Festive Lights Mooshanka + Screaming Tiger Taunt: Panzer Pants + 6 keys (histories match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1744848000/1744934400 (ID: 15649182292)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133712839#!/compare/1744848000/1745107200

Festive Lights Mooshanka mini

https://backpack.tf/item/11120334996

12 keys 20 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800 (ID: 15767726465)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1746748800/1748044800

Looks like the only usable sale. Calling this ~12.3

Screaming Tiger Taunt: Panzer Pants mini

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1196;5;u3006

4 in date sales at $12.5

$12.5 / $1.95 (average value lately) = 6.4

6.4

Back to Sale #8

12.3 + 6.4 + 6 = 24.7

Rounding to 25

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/14776515237

Untraceable, histories don't align

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454099076#!/compare/1744243200/1745452800

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/14776515237

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073161158#!/compare/1745625600/1745712000

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/14776515237

Dumped to bots for unknown amount

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1747699200/1747785600

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/14744965070

35 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1749427200/1749513600 (ID: 15820762513)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146640595#!/compare/1749340800/1749513600

Current sellers:

$64.99 on mp.tf (3x)

$59.98 on mannco.store

$57.29 on SCM

$77.37 on SCM

$218.53 on SCM

28.52 keys on bp.tf

30 keys on bp.tf (2x)

31 keys 2.66 ref on STN

Sales: 33, 34, 25, 35

With all the lower sellers we cannot use the sales at 33 and above sadly. Gladiator.tf stats also recorded a sale at 24 keys, but I wasn't able to trace it, although it should support using 25 flat.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Rare%20Shine%20Commonwealth%20Commando&at=2025-06-22T22:00:44.157Z

Final price: 25