Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/10595837656

Added 15 keys for a Cold Cosmos Hawaiian Hunter

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199076018223#!/compare/1746489600/1747872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214429536#!/compare/1746144000/1747872000 (untraceable)

-----

Cold Cosmos Hawaiian Hunter Mini

mini #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31271;5;u243

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/10/25

$140.00 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 72.5

Rounding to 73

mini #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15787519807

47 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195420449#!/compare/1749081600/1749168000 (ID: 15808314705)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109952118#!/compare/1748908800/1749168000

mini #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15658912078

60 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235305952#!/compare/1745366400/1745452800 (ID: 15671107306)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163410202#!/compare/1745107200/1745452800

mini #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15658912078

65 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163410202#!/compare/1746403200/1746576000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044881726#!/compare/1746403200/1746576000

mini #5

https://backpack.tf/item/12157967286

60 keys 17.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199182252#!/compare/1744070400/1744156800 (ID: 15618317254)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1743984000/1744070400

Rounding to 61

Gonna stop here cause it goes on & on. 47 key sale is clearly low. 70 and 63 key sales are countered by lower seller. Taking average of 60 - 61, which is 60.5.

-----

Back to Sale #1

60.5 - 15 = 45.5

Rounding to 46

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/6393067472

56 keys 31.55 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960466656#!/compare/1745020800/1745107200 (ID: 15658632671)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1745107200/1745193600

Rounding to 57

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/2705881356

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069407799#!/compare/1744761600/1747180800

Current sellers:

$114.90 on mp.tf

$118.00 on mannco.store

$184.74 on SCM

57 keys on bp.tf

57.52 keys on bp.tf (2x)

47 keys 20.88 ref on STN

Sales: 46, 57

STN has been unsold for several months now, lowering their price to 10 keys UNDER what they paid in Sale #2. Safe to say, this hat is definitely not worth that much. I'll put this suggestion up, but I think it's wise to keep it open until STN sells because there is a good chance that it could decrease even further at this rate.

Final price: 46