Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u284

https://backpack.tf/item/13512225027

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/15/25

$41.99 / $1.91 (median value at the time) = ~22.0

Rounding to 22

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u284

https://backpack.tf/item/13471311433

Marketplace.tf sale on 6/13/25

$41.99 / $1.95 (median value at the time) = 21.5

Rounding to 22

Sale #3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u284

Marketplace.tf sale on 7/05/25

$41.99 / $2.02 (median value at the time) = 20.8

Rounding to 21

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/13512225027

Impossible to trace this sale, therefore it must be exempted from the final suggested price range

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147668532#!/compare/1744675200/1744848000

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/13512225027

Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1744934400/1745020800

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/13512225027

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136289358#!/compare/1747267200/1747440000

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/13512225027

Bulk for a Flaming Lantern Shooter's Sola Topi

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136289358#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

Use there

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/13489242743

Bulk for a GE Berliner's Bucket Helm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680#!/compare/1750723200/1750809600

Use there

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/13441664660

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1751155200/1751241600

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/13441664660

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199094443039#!/compare/1751328000/1751414400

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/13344648795

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372176690#!/compare/1744502400/1744588800

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/13344648795

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1750204800/1750291200

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/13268906363

21 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1744675200/1744761600 (ID: 15642790893)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443370407#!/compare/1744675200/1744761600

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/13268906363

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443370407#!/compare/1745193600/1745280000

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/13268906363

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1746057600/1746230400

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/13281971572

17 keys 0.33 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1748217600/1748304000 (ID: 15776445936)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099121827#!/compare/1748131200/1748304000

Rounding to 17

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/13281971572

Keys used fast

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099121827#!/compare/1748304000/1748649600

Gladiator.tf sales

17 keys 27.66 ref @ 7/06/25 (Rounding to 17)

18 keys 1.33 ref @ 5/31/25 (Rounding to 18)

18 keys 34.11 ref @ 4/29/25 (Rounding to 19)

20 keys 0.66 ref @ 4/15/25 (Rounding to 20)

20 keys 0.33 ref @ 4/13/25 (Rounding to 20)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Jellyfish%20Jam%20Brimmed%20Bootlegger&at=2025-07-08T01:15:54.510Z

Current sellers:

$41.99 on mp.tf (4x)

$52.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$54.99 on mp.tf

$39.95 on mannco.store

$39.96 on mannco.store

19 keys on bp.tf

19.67 keys on bp.tf

19.82 keys on bp.tf

20 keys on bp.tf

20.01 keys on bp.tf

21 keys on bp.tf

22.46 keys on bp.tf

18 keys 24.77 ref on STN

Sales: 22, 22, 21, 21, 17, 17, 18, 19, 20, 20

Numerous unsolds for 20 keys and lower indicates that the sales at 20 and above are too high. Buyers currently at 17.5, which rounds up, so I will remove the 17 key sale from the low-end (also balances ignoring the high sales).

Final price: 18 - 19