Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u291

https://backpack.tf/item/14142948494

Marketplace.tf sale on 6/23/25

$29.99 / $1.98 (median value at the time) = 15.2

Rounding to 15

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15558843402

Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198414518161#!/compare/1745539200/1746403200

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15420142133

Sold with ~5 keys in sweets for a Professional Killstreak C.A.P.P.E.R (lots of sales at 14 recently https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Professional%20Killstreak%20C.A.P.P.E.R&at=2025-07-08T19:34:21.739Z)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198828076889#!/compare/1750204800/1751328000 (ID: 15887980086)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311478988#!/compare/1751241600/1751932800

14 - 5 = 9

Rounding to 9

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/13620905112

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1750204800/1750291200

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/13620905112

Keys used fast

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198972150983#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/13418304791

inv didn't update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140168004#!/compare/1750550400/1750550400

Sale #7 (unusable)

https://backpack.tf/item/13332893411

12 keys 4 ref (histories don't match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246544682#!/compare/1743984000/1744156800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396959351#!/compare/1743897600/1744156800

Rounding to 12

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/13332893411

12 keys 18 ref

(ID: 15626652993)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396959351#!/compare/1744243200/1744329600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1744243200/1744329600

Rounding to 12

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/13332893411

14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400 (Key ID: 15876613743)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973884159#!/compare/1750982400/1751414400

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/13239922537

only 5 keys traceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199191233687#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/15790726859

12 keys 29.22 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199118041630#!/compare/1748044800/1748736000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1748563200/1748649600

Rounding to 12

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/15790726859

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/15761150202

12 keys 43.77 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1747785600/1747872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1747612800/1747872000

Rounding to 13

Sale #14 (unusable)

SCM sale on 7/02/25

https://imgur.com/a/4IUTxsh

$35.28 = 15.54 keys

Rounding to 16

Sale #15 (unusable)

SCM sale on 6/20/25

https://imgur.com/a/y5DUMDk

$25.43 = 11.21 keys

Rounding to 11

Sale #16 (unusable)

SCM sale on 5/10/25

https://imgur.com/a/OzoLSQk

$27.00 = 11.73 keys

Rounding to 12

Sale #17 (unusable)

SCM sale on 4/30/25

https://imgur.com/a/vc6y73A

$26.06 = 11.48 keys

Rounding to 12

Sale #18 (unusable)

SCM sale on 4/28/25

https://imgur.com/a/0nhZziA

$26.08 = 11.75 keys

Rounding to 12

Sale #19 (unusable)

SCM sale on 4/14/25

https://imgur.com/a/elwFl0K

$36.28 = 16.31 keys

Rounding to 16

Gladiator.tf sales:

12 keys 7.22 ref @ 6/28/25 (rounding to 12)

12 keys 29.22 ref @ 5/31/25 (Sale #11)

12 keys 43.77 ref @ 5/22/25 (Sale #13)

12 keys 43.77 ref @ 5/20/25 (rounding to 13)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Fireflies%20Brimmed%20Bootlegger&at=2025-07-08T19:41:00.740Z

Current sellers:

$29.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$30.78 on SCM

$31.00 on SCM

$37.73 on SCM (2x)

$39.90 on SCM

14 keys on bp.tf

15 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 15, 9, 12 (unusable), 12, 14, 12, 13, 16 (unusable), 11 (unusable), 12 (unusable), 12 (unusable), 12 (unusable), 16 (unusable), 12, 13

9 is well below current buyers. Similarly, 15 is too far above current bp.tf sellers and SCM sellers to use.

Final price: 12 - 14