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Item 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/14757402423
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059773832#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226525604#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200
Sold for 38 keys & 40 ref (from buyers side 38 of the 39 keys showing match)
Buyer confirms it was sold for 38 keys and 40 ref.
Other key was sold for ref then some of the ref used for the sale (credits Mindacos)
Having looked into the sale deeper, some ref matches on the sale: https://backpack.tf/item/15911509902
Not just that, one of the keys was traded away to Goku, a key seller: https://backpack.tf/item/13632371299
This matches the remainder of the refined that was not traded away. Given keys were 64 ref at the time of the sale, I'm fine with believing that this did in fact sell for 38 Keys 40 ref, as the buyer and jay claim.
Reference to claim: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/687cd4a4978f104f52055902
Rounding this sale up to 39 keys.
Going with 39 keys flat