New sale, trying to run it back

A few sold recently on MP

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/15125;15;w3;pk77;kt-2

A specks one sold for 45$ on Jul 4th

Keys that day were 2$

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

45/2 = 22.5

2 normal ones sold on Apr 22 for 40$ and 42$ on Jul 2

keys on Apr 22 were 1.9$

40/1.9 = 21

Keys on Jul 2 were 1.99$

42/1.99 = 21

Meanwhile on Steam

https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Top%20Shelf%20Minigun%20(Field-Tested)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

One sold Apr 28th for 23$ which is wayyyy below all buy orders for the skin

One sold May 11th for 61.02$

keys that day were 2.36$

61/2.36 = 25 - I dont plan to include this sale since it seems like an outlier

One sold Jun 4th for 49.8$

keys that day were 2.32$

49.8/2.32 = 21.4

One sold Jun 8th for 33.21$

keys that day were 2.30$

33.21/2.30 = 14.4 - excluding since its an outlier as bots buy for 15 currently

One sold Jul 5th for 49.6$

keys that day were 2.30$

49.6/2.30 = 21.5

Two sold Jul 11th for 49.8$

Keys that day were 2.36$

49.8/2.36 = 21.1

One sold Jul 20th for 40.23$

keys that day were ~2.44$

40.23/2.44 = 16.5