Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/14851787634

16 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1746403200/1746489600 (Key ID: 15709953560)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198413621375#!/compare/1746144000/1746662400

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/14733524354

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867781825#!/compare/1752969600/1753142400

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/14717216009

Bulk for a Burning Flames Snack Stack

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189916907#!/compare/1747353600/1750464000

Use there

Rainbow Reverie:

Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u335

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/08/25

$79.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 41.5

Rounding to 42

2+ months old sale

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/15833024549

18 keys 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750377600/1750464000 (ID: 15858082998)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111608504#!/compare/1750291200/1750464000

Rounding to 18

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/14871378894

26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282959421#!/compare/1746144000/1746316800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037937903#!/compare/1745712000/1746316800

Histories match from buyers side

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/14713126632

1:1 for a Phantom Crown Twisted Topper (in date at 28)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085556501#!/compare/1747267200/1747526400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202209948#!/compare/1746835200/1747526400

28

Sale #5 (unusable)

https://mannco.store/item/440-rainbow-reverie-unusual-commonwealth-commando

Mannco.store sale on 7/18/25

$32.40 / $1.85 (median value at the time) = 17.5

Rounding to 18

Sale #6 (unusable)

SCM sale on 7/16/25

https://imgur.com/a/745x1UC

$62.97 = 27.74 keys

Rounding to 28

Current sellers:

$48.00 on mp.tf (2x)

$50.00 on mp.tf

$50.96 on mp.tf

$54.13 on mp.tf

$54.68 on mp.tf (4x)

$79.99 on mp.tf

$49.75 on mannco.store

$49.76 on mannco.store

$49.78 on mannco.store

$59.97 on mannco.store

$60.00 on mannco.store

$67.00 on mannco.store

$81.42 on SCM

$80.50 on SCM

$86.51 on SCM

28 keys on bp.tf (2x)

29 keys on bp.tf (2x)

35 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 42 (old), 18, 26, 28, 18 (unusable), 28 (unusable)

42 is old and wildly high at this point. Despite current mp.tf sellers being a bit lower than 26 keys, I am going to include in to give a good range that most accurately reflects this hats price.

Final price: 18 - 26