The sales here are way too discrepant. 42 is far too high given the two sales at much, much lower. 24 will be too low given the current buyers. Even for a conservative drop, we don't have anything that's workable here.
This will need to stay outdated until we get more sales.
Update
2 sold this month on the SCM
https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US¤cy=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Warhawk%20Flame%20Thrower%20(Field-Tested)
One Jul 3 for 11.76 - not including for obvious reasons
One Jul 21 for 60.60$
Keys that day were 2.52$
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key
60.60/2.52 = 24
On MP
One sold on May 23 for 80$
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/15141;11;w3;pk80;kt-2
Keys that day were 1.92
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
80/1.92 = 41.7
The sales here are way too discrepant. 42 is far too high given the two sales at much, much lower. 24 will be too low given the current buyers. Even for a conservative drop, we don't have anything that's workable here.
This will need to stay outdated until we get more sales.