Pricing event 2025 - Team 4 - Suggestion 8 - aj

Green Energy Reel Fly Hat

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/10556518611

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013147020#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235305952#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

Added:

Taunt: The Schadenfreude

Strange Detonator

Taunt: Flippin' Awesome

A Distinctive Lack of Hue The Crone's Dome

for

Green Energy Metal Slug - also one of our items so will check accordingly

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235305952#!/compare/1746576000/1746662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1746576000/1746662400

Some sort of bulk?

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1747267200/1747353600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1747094400/1747353600

Added:

Orbiting Planets Backwards Ballcap

Massed Flies Hong Kong Cone

Forever and Forever! More Gun Marshal

20 keys

for

Global Clusters Close Quarters Cover

Bulk

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199509832207#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

Sold for 43 keys 51 ref

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199509832207#!/compare/1747699200/1747958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

Untraceable

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Green%20Energy%20Reel%20Fly%20Hat&at=2025-07-25T12:42:19.529Z

Looks to have been the May 21st sale for 48 keys 60.66 ref

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/10499082718

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038142758#!/compare/1751846400/1751932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

Sold for 52 keys 41.88 ref

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/10368130013

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036641916#!/compare/1746057600/1747008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1745971200/1746057600

69 keys 42.33 ref matches - seems a bit high

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1748044800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198397786949#!/compare/1747785600/1748304000

53 keys match ID

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/10335237885

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1749254400/1749340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1749254400/1749340800

Sold for 52 keys 53.88 ref

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Green%20Energy%20Reel%20Fly%20Hat&at=2025-07-25T12:42:19.529Z

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/10326087085

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199663649981#!/compare/1752969600/1753142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064858726#!/compare/1752969600/1753142400

25 keys match, incomplete trade

Item 5 HIDDEN HISTORY from gladiator.tf stats

https://backpack.tf/item/15829662856

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126202356#!/compare/1749600000/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1749513600/1749600000

49 keys 66.88 ref matches history and some keys were used to purchase the Strange Professional Killstreak Southern Hospitality

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Green%20Energy%20Reel%20Fly%20Hat&at=2025-07-25T12:42:19.529Z

The ref amount matches the 12/06/2025 sale to a glad bot for 52 keys 66.88 ref

Treating as 53 keys

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1749168000/1749600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1749513600/1749600000

Dumped to bot

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Green%20Energy%20Reel%20Fly%20Hat&at=2025-07-25T12:42:19.529Z

For 53 keys 4.55 ref, untrace but will reinforce range

Sales

Added ~4 keys for Green Energy Metal Slug - multiple month unsold at 58 keys over there

44

49

53

70 (this one seems high, I think maybe the unusual flame thrower was also involved to STN)

53

53

53

53

Current listings

https://prnt.sc/YoMJ8WFDYT1E

Most sellers at 55 keys

Buyers up to ~42.6 keys

Concluding thoughts

The Slug has a bot dump at 49 keys making that sale worth about 45 keys here

I would argue that 44 appears a bit low given current buyers and that all the other sales being used to price this are older bot dumps that were higher.

Given that, I think ranging 49 - 53 keys is fair here, therefore making the Slug 49 - 55 keys

Taking 49 - 53 keys for now