Pricing event 2025 - Team 4 - Suggestion 33 - noszelias

Green Energy Commando Elite

Mini for Disco Beat Down Gilded Guard

Item #1

https://backpack.tf/item/8261862242

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084054739#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

Sold for 25 keys. Ignoring the 24.44 refs since it still rounds down to 25.

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084054739#!/compare/1753056000/1753228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1752883200/1753228800

Sold for Disco Beat Down Gilded Guard - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/688507d46b51e0c6510aa994 - 27 keys

Taking 27 keys

Item #2

https://backpack.tf/item/7696259095

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1746489600/1746576000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144976577#!/compare/1746489600/1746576000

Sold for Silver Cyclone Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger, Isotope Polar Surprise War Paint (Battle Scarred) and 6 keys.

Silver Cyclone Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6885021ebf9eb5f5300c931e - 4.1 keys

Isotope Polar Surprise War Paint (Battle Scarred) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/688502ea712112d29106c2d0 - 26.5 keys

26.5 + 4.1 + 6 = 36.6 keys

Rounding to 37 keys

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144976577#!/compare/1746921600/1747094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172388346#!/compare/1747008000/1747094400

Sold for a Hot Specialized Killstreak Seriously Snowed Sniper Rifle (Field-Tested).

The sniper rifle only has this sale and an untrace, so I’m skipping this one.

Using the mini below for 23 keys

aj note:

Below is a mini for the Sniper rifle that zelias made.

Pricing event 2025 - Team 4 - noszelias

Hot Seriously Snowed Sniper Rifle (Field-Tested)

Item #1

https://backpack.tf/item/12741822098

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172388346#!/compare/1745712000/1745971200

untrace.

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172388346#!/compare/1747008000/1747094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144976577#!/compare/1746921600/1747094400

Sold for a Green Energy Commando Elite.

Item #2

https://backpack.tf/item/11983966631

Mannco withdraws and deposits, ignoring.

aj note again:

Sale 1 is traceable, it was actually this purchase here:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268399758#!/compare/1746403200/1746576000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172388346#!/compare/1746489600/1746576000

Sold for 23 keys 28.66 ref

https://prnt.sc/GHCBz1y6--x9 - buyers for any (hot) sniper rifle are at 23 keys 20 ref so can't really price the Seriously Snowed Sniper Rifle at this but I think it can be used as a mini in this instance (?)

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172388346#!/compare/1747094400/1747267200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124965533#!/compare/1747008000/1747267200

Broken compares

Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124965533#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199261212596#!/compare/1742256000/1748044800

Broken compares, keys dumped alongside the hat from buyer’s side show this was the original buyer.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283091524#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

Unusable.

Rest are mannco movements.

Sales:

25

Disco Beat Down Gilded Guard

37

23

aj conclusion:

37 resold for 23, which is already a sort of rough mini

The Gilded Guard has 2 sales currently, 1 at around buyers that rounds up to 24 keys and then another at 29 keys flat. Given the recent sellers at 25 keys and a couple day old seller at 28 keys, I think it is hard to price the DBD Gilded at just 29 keys.

If we price the Gilded at 24 - 30 keys, we get an average of 27 keys.

Using that sale here (this item is actually one of our Day 2 hats awesome), we would get a better range of 25 - 27, giving us an average of 26 that falls within the range of the DBD Gilded also.

I think we should therefore use the DBD Gilded here (which is fine because both hats are ours) and run with 25 - 27 here.