Team 6 - Suggestion #128 (Jarool)

Cursed Confinement Taunt: Conga

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3060

$59.99, May 31st & June 10th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.94, May 31st

$1.95, June 10th

59.99/1.94 = 30.923, rounds to 31 keys

59.99/1.95 = 30.764, rounds to 31 keys

Sale 1:

Sold for 23 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803536180#!/compare/1748563200/1748649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159230350#!/compare/1742256000/1748908800

https://backpack.tf/item/3033995904

Seller’s compare would suggest that other items were involved that sold for keys, but I can’t confirm this, and it’s a little unlikely with sellers for much cheaper. Taking it as is.

= 23 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032952202#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/item/8455746312

= 20 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199524851818#!/compare/1747353600/1747526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747267200/1747353600

https://backpack.tf/item/10770452980

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1748908800/1748995200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198856092958#!/compare/1748908800/1748995200

https://backpack.tf/item/10770452980

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198856092958#!/compare/1749081600/1749600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1748995200/1749081600

https://backpack.tf/item/10770452980

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/10770452980

Untraceable, missing info in history

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1748044800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803536180#!/compare/1747526400/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/item/3033995904

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1746835200/1746921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075890393#!/compare/1752192000/1752278400

https://backpack.tf/item/2917183270

Untraceable, most likely gambled, gambled afterwards.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084310484#!/compare/1751500800/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/item/5964509726

Untraceable, some keys match

https://backpack.tf/item/3835168777 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/7222511747 - untraceable

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/Bw7XO93.png

https://backpack.tf/item/5964509726 - ~26.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2696429342 - ~26.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7709954147 - 28 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8455746312 - 55 keys

Sales at:

20

23

31 (2x, marketplace)

https://i.imgur.com/T1HZMUT.png - STN currently buying for ~20 keys

31 is definitely an outlier, given the cheaper sellers, one of which is about half a year old. Excluding 31.

While the STN listing may lower at some point, I’m not comfortable with keeping 20 in the range, while 31 is already being excluded, especially with 20 being a bot purchase. Excluding 20.

Taking 23 flat.