Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/13201993098

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019494471#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

27 keys + The Decorated Veteran + Spent Well Spirits + Coldfront Curbstompers + 7.44 ref

Buyout was 27 keys so the items were likely for something else https://imgur.com/hpW5TZY

(when the listing was there keys were still priced at 65.11–69.22 ref, 1,813.46/67.165=27)

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/3582323919

Sale 2: QSStore bot transfer

Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3128

Sale 3:

Sold for $60 on June 18 2025

Keys were $1.99 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

60/1.99=30.15 ~30 keys

Sales:

27, 30

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/dVqB10s 27 keys (11 days)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3128 $60 (~31 keys as of now)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual%20Potion%20Explosion%20Taunt:%20Conga None

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Conga?filter=Potion+Explosion https://imgur.com/wag8Zgp 57.5€ (~27.12 keys)

11 days isn't enough to counter a sale. SCM has high key prices as well so I don't think it's enough either to counter given that in dollars 57.5€ is $65.71, which is higher than the mp sale (source: https://imgur.com/BYuqDPT).

For these reasons, going with 27-30 keys