Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/5224675209

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1749081600/1749168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408528727#!/compare/1749081600/1749168000

5 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/5192477198

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037271185#!/compare/1747094400/1747180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1747094400/1747180800

Bulk for Cloudy Moon Killer's Kabuto

Sale 3: Deposit and withdraw from Mannco

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1748304000/1748390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161657392#!/compare/1748304000/1748390400

4 keys + Strange Virtual Viewfinder

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Virtual%20Viewfinder&at=2025-05-31T22:58:00.553Z 43.11-57.88 ref seems like a fair valuation for thr VVF since the sale at 25.44 seems far apart (mean point of ~50.55 ref), given keys at the time that makes ~0.75 keys

taking 4.75 keys

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161657392#!/compare/1751155200/1751328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1751241600/1751328000

Dumped to bot, 26.66 ref matches

Sales:

4.75, 5

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/PK4Au5J 8 keys (2 months)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30816;5;u3117 $21 (~11 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual%20Blooming%20Beacon%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery None

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery?filter=Blooming+Beacon https://imgur.com/2lUvYAJ 15.02€ (~7 keys)

Even though 4.75 resold for less, the dump supports having a low end, there was also a month gap between the purchase and the dump so I think this is fine.

Going with 4.75-5 keys