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~42 keys
FN
Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
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  • $89.99
    FN
    Decorated Weapon Knife 1 Timed Drop Top Shelf 15144338864 4637228618
  • $89.99
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    Decorated Weapon Knife 1 Timed Drop Top Shelf 15402866556 4530661606
  • $89.99
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    Decorated Weapon Knife 1 Timed Drop Top Shelf 15668435556 4452487055
  • 32.35 keys
    FN
    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 32 keys
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    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 30 keys
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    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 26 keys
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    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 20.26 keys
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    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 20 keys
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    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 20 keys
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    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
  • 1.11 ref
    FN
    Decorated Weapon Knife Top Shelf
$71.44
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Comments

Taking a stab at the oldest knife skin in the game


Only one recent sale on MP, sold on May 11 for 90$

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/15119;15;w1;pk77


Keys that day were 1.93$

90/1.93 = 46.6


Meanwhile on steam

https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Top%20Shelf%20Knife%20(Factory%20New)


One sold May 30 for 80$

Keys that day were 2.36$

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

80/2.36 = 33.9


One sold Jun 24 for 79.51

keys that day were 2.34$

79.51/2.34 = 40


One sold Jul 4 for 63.55

keys that day were 2.30

63.55/2.30 = 27.6


One sold Aug 1 for 60.69

keys that day are around 2.46

60.69/2.46 = 24.6 - this sale is basically buy order price on steam and way below current buy orders

    Low end countered by buyers.

    (Also if we are 100% correct it is on of the 6 oldest knife skins added in tough break, not the oldest :nerd: )

      yeah, keeping the low end kept the range ~37. If I changed it to 34 - 47 it makes the range ~40.

      Also, one of 7 knife skins lol

        Oh yeah forgot Airwolf.


        I dont get your reasoning on why you would keep a low end countered by mutliple buy orders though.

          Since you have an option to thin the range, I'd go with that option. 28 feels very low here, and 47 feels very high as well.


          Resuggest at 34-40.