Sale 1:

Sold for Pro. KS Kritzkrieg (~9.3) + Strange Spec. KS Rust Botkiller Rocket Launcher (~1.4) + Spec. KS Ubersaw (~1) + 25 ref (~0.4) (buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886513032#!/compare/1747440000/1747699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199485933810#!/compare/1747526400/1747699200 - case wasn’t involved

https://backpack.tf/item/14035770623

Pro. KS Kritzkrieg:

https://i.imgur.com/L9VYvEZ.png

Range between buyers and sellers here is tight enough, shouldn’t need to rely on gladiator here. Taking ~9.3 keys here

Rocket Launcher:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Rust%20Botkiller%20Rocket%20Launcher%20Mk.I (buyer at ~1.2 keys, ignoring the 42 ref purchases, and the 24 key sale that was obviously spelled)

1 sale at 1 key + 25 ref, using that (~1.4)

Ubersaw:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Specialized%20Killstreak%20Festive%20%C3%9Cbersaw&at=2025-08-04T15:54:44.132Z

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Specialized%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Ubersaw&at=2025-08-04T15:54:44.132Z

Nothing recent or good here, all purchases and sales exceed current sellers.

https://i.imgur.com/0Ppu0xs.png - 2 buyers at 1 key + 1 seller at 1 key (probably not reliable though)

Taking 1 key flat here.

= 12 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to STN for 9 keys + less than half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1748563200/1748649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1748563200/1748649600

https://backpack.tf/item/13995426660

= 9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to STN for 8 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199076951484#!/compare/1746576000/1747785600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747180800/1747267200

https://backpack.tf/item/15202213328

= 8 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31434;5;u315

$29.99, May 22nd

$26.66, July 2nd, 28th, & 29th

https://backpack.tf/item/14550994944 - July 2nd

https://backpack.tf/item/14457397908 - July 28th or 29th

Couldn’t find the last one

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.94, May 22nd

$1.99, July 2nd

$1.94, July 28th

$1.93, July 29th

29.99/1.94 = 15.459, rounds to 15 keys

26.66/1.99 = 13.397, rounds to 13 keys

26.66/1.94 = 13.742, rounds to 14 keys

26.66/1.93 = 13.813, rounds to 14 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199582478736#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339890856#!/compare/1746230400/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/item/14457397908

Untraceable, most likely crabbed

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339890856#!/compare/1751068800/1751155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/item/14457397908

Untraceable, only some keys match

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1751068800/1751155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1751068800/1751155200

https://backpack.tf/item/14457397908

Untraceable, most likely the bot’s owner dumped them along with the other items for keys to STN.

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1751414400/1751500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1751414400/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/item/14457397908

Untraceable, gambling involved, gambled afterwards.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260037335#!/compare/1750204800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frosty%20Flavours%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-08-04T15:24:04.115Z - labelled as 8 keys + 8.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14457397908

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200

https://backpack.tf/item/14204089224

Untraceable, gambling involved

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1746835200/1746921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053783254#!/compare/1746748800/1746921600

https://backpack.tf/item/14204089224

Bulk, from STN

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521862311#!/compare/1747612800/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960476801#!/compare/1751068800/1751500800

https://backpack.tf/item/14114606038

Untraceable, missing info, most likely gambled, gambled afterwards.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352937481#!/compare/1751587200/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1751587200/1751673600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frosty%20Flavours%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-08-04T15:24:04.115Z - labelled as 8 keys + 10.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14114606038

Untraceable

#10-12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1747785600/1747872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521862311#!/compare/1747612800/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/item/14026346052

https://backpack.tf/item/13995426660

https://backpack.tf/item/14114606038

Untraceable, gambled afterwards

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067025442#!/compare/1748131200/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1748131200/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/item/13995426660

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1750204800/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/item/13995426660

Bought in bulk from STN

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1746403200/1746489600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1746403200/1746489600

https://backpack.tf/item/13955097521

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1746662400/1746748800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970869719#!/compare/1746230400/1746748800

https://backpack.tf/item/13955097521

Untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970869719#!/compare/1750550400/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1750550400/1750636800

https://backpack.tf/item/13955097521

Untraceable

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162341035#!/compare/1750809600/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198893977554#!/compare/1751241600/1751241600 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/item/13879370128

Untraceable, most likely scammed

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198893977554#!/compare/1751241600/1751241600 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199131345389#!/compare/1750982400/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/item/13879370128

Untraceable

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199131345389#!/compare/1750982400/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1751155200/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/item/13879370128

Untraceable

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747785600/1747872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078628165#!/compare/1747267200/1748304000

https://backpack.tf/item/15202213328

Sold with some metal for a Cloud 9 Horror Shawl?

Not convinced this is entirely correct, and if it is, we shouldn’t use it without knowing the B/O.

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078628165#!/compare/1748304000/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750723200/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/item/15202213328

Bulk for Terror-Watt Kabuto

#23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800 - Near ID: 15879123650

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129941017#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/item/15202213328

Too many keys match

#24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129941017#!/compare/1751760000/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/item/15202213328

Untraceable, sold to STN

https://backpack.tf/item/15332771990 - moved between quicksell.store bots

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/1ZGE1V0.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13879370128 - ~11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14204971912 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14114606038 - ~11.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14226892072 - 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13955097521 - $26.66

https://backpack.tf/item/13995426660 - $26.66

https://backpack.tf/item/15202213328 - $26.66

Highest buyer at ~7.75 keys

Sales at:

8

9

12

13 (marketplace)

14 (2x, marketplace)

15 (marketplace)

While 8 did go to buy orders, the highest buyer is currently 7.75 keys, and we have 2 gladiator purchases at ~8 keys, which supports including 8 keys. Going to disregard the STN buy order at ~9.3 keys, which most likely won’t last too long.

There’s an abundance of sellers below the sales that didn’t go to buy orders, but we can’t exclude all of those higher sales. I will exclude the marketplace sales at least, as they stray the furthest from the sellers we have.

Taking 8-12 keys.