Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/14077466277

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1753142400/1753228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1753142400/1753228800

17 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/9843391120

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142253894#!/compare/1751328000/1751500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273405526#!/compare/1751500800/1752019200

Bulk

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/6538553676

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1750377600/1750464000

Scrap.tf bot to QSStore, most liekly bought and dumped

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/6748622795

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747785600/1747872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286161467#!/compare/1748044800/1748217600

STN to SCM? idk

Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3007

Sale 5:

Sold for $39.96 on July 2 2025

Keys were $1.99 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

39.96/1.99=20.08 ~20 keys

Sales:

17, 20

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/4ChGG42 16.89 keys (1 day), 17 keys (14 days), 17.28 keys (8 months)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3007 $39.96 (~21 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual%20Skill%20Gotten%20Gains%20Taunt:%20Kazotsky%20Kick none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Kazotsky%20Kick?filter=Skill+Gotten+Gains https://imgur.com/x8fSVAM from 33.98€ (~16 keys going by the current key price)

Idk, this is a tough situation. The 16 key seller is fairly close to SCM buyers so I would like to think it would end up selling fairly quickly. On top of that, the value in keys really depends on the key price of the day so I think it would be silly to range off of that. However, there's enough evidence to prove that 20 is too high.

Going with 17 keys flat