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~1575 keys
sunbeams
Unusual Exquisite Rack Sunbeams
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Another try

This time rounded properly.


Ty 'Nobody and no name' for providing me with Item histories

Ty 'Strange Fry' and 'YES!' for helping me.


Sale 1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/339;5;u17


Keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6


July 11th

Sold for 3349.69 $


Average Key Price on July 11th

2.02$


3349.69 / 2.02 = 1658,26 = 1658 Keys

Rounding to 1650


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200


Sunbeams Bonk Boy (1225) (Outdated) + Divine Desire Winter Wrap (133) (Outdated)

= 1358 Keys


Sale 3


https://backpack.tf/item/291674018

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258001464#!/compare/1751587200/1751846400


Scorching Pyromancers (1300 (Outdated)) + 250 Keys

= 1550 Keys


Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/item/365551050

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198988911055#!/compare/1747094400/1747785600


Bulk


Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/item/277203542

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008181262#!/compare/1716249600/1728000000


?


Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/item/277398743

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240217520#!/compare/1751932800/1752192000


?


The Marketplace sale seems to be the only usable Price since every other trade is either outdated or un-tracable.

So I'll just stick with the Marketplace Sale this time.

    Nooo Axon you don't round full pure sales :( Thats why i said 1658 flat

    2 new sales since u posted:


    Sale #1:

    https://backpack.tf/item/277398743

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157964204#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400


    Looks like a Frostbite Boxcar Bomber + Circling Heart Soldier's Stash + Strange Professional Killstreak Pomson 6000 w/ Exorcism + Scorching Flames Killer Exclusive + Subtle Silhouette Taunt: Skullcracker


    Sale #2:

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240217520#!/compare/1754870400/1755043200 ~ frostbite HKC

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200 ~ looks 1:1


      How does that affect my suggestion ?

      Honest question since i actually do not know.


      I checked all the items and it seems like every single one of them is outdated.


      Frostbite Boxcar Bomber (500)

      Circling Heart Soldier's Stash (560)

      Strange Professional Killstreak Pomson 6000 w/ Exorcism (40 ish)

      Scorching Flames Killer Exclusive (520) (mp.tf sale on July 12th for 1099$ (Keys were 2.02$ = 544 Keys))

      Subtle Silhouette Taunt: Skullcracker (Unpriced)


      Would amount to ~1620 Keys (+ Skullcracker) which would be extremely close to my suggestion if they were not outdated.


      I tried tracing back some HKC sales, but they all seem to be either bulk or very old.

    So I went over every single thing i could find.

    I even got bp premium.

    This is what I got.


    Sale 1

    https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/339;5;u17


    Keys

    https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6


    July 11th

    Sold for 3349.69 $


    Average Key Price on July 11th

    2.02$


    3349.69 / 2.02 = 1658,26 = 1658 Keys

    Rounding to 1650


    Sale 2

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1746748800/1746835200


    Sunbeams Bonk Boy (1225) (Outdated) + Divine Desire Winter Wrap Up (133) (Outdated)

    = 1358 Keys


    Sunbeams Bonk Boy Mini:

    https://backpack.tf/item/410436812

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259528152#!/compare/1747353600/1747440000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1747353600/1747440000

    Bulk


    https://backpack.tf/item/350644668

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026605090#!/compare/1748995200/1750032000

    Items were moved between accounts


    https://backpack.tf/item/861889648

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977417516#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

    Traded it + 210 Keys for Death at Dusk Flamboyant Flamenco (295 Outdated), Sunbeams Mining Light (650 Outdated) and a Morning Glory Das Hazmattenhatten (250 Outdated) ?


    Overall not really tracable.

    Same goes for the Winter Wrap Up where 2 of them have been sitting in the inventories of mp.tf bots


    Sale 3

    https://backpack.tf/item/291674018

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258001464#!/compare/1751587200/1751846400


    Scorching Pyromancers (1300 (Outdated)) + 250 Keys

    = 1550 Keys


    Scorching Pyromancers Mini:


    https://backpack.tf/item/336240927

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134102947#!/compare/1750636800/1750982400

    Was traded together with a Green Energy Aviator Assassin (82), Lavender Landfall A Hat to Kill For (150) and Cool Secretly Serviced Soda Popper (Battle Scarred) for a Haunted Phantasm Jr Prehistoric Pullover (1750)


    Since all items are up to date that would Put the Pyormancers at 1518 (minus whatever the Soda Popper might be worth.)


    So let's say 1500 + 250 Keys = 1750 Keys


    Sale 4


    https://backpack.tf/item/277398743

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157964204#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400


    Frostbite Boxcar Bomber (500) (Outdated) (No recent trades)

    Circling Heart Soldier's Stash (560) (Outdated)

    Strange Professional Killstreak Pomson 6000 w/ Exorcism (40-ish)

    Scorching Flames Killer Exclusive (520) (mp.tf sale on July 12th for 1099$ (Keys were 2.02$ = 544 Keys))

    Subtle Silhouette Taunt: Skullcracker (Unpriced)


    ~1640 Keys (+ Skullcracker) (Outdated)


    Soldiers Stash Mini:

    https://backpack.tf/item/374858190

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031498341#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000 - Only appears in the inventory after going back 1-year


    https://backpack.tf/item/228418389

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040737975#!/compare/1707523200/1707609600 - Only appears in the inventory after going back 1-year


    https://backpack.tf/item/201786140

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121528061#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198989424564#!/compare/1754352000/1756252800

    Traded with a Strange Iridescence Thousand-Yard Stare (150), Blizzardy Storm Le Party Phantom (155) and Pumpkin Moon Hat Outta Hell (169) for a Strange Haunted Ghosts Bonk Boy (675)

    Every single Item is outdated.


    Sale 5

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240217520#!/compare/1754870400/1755043200 ~ frostbite HKC

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200 ~ looks 1:1


    Sold 1:1 with a Frostbite Hong Kong Cone

    = 1320 (Outdated)


    Hong Kong Cone Mini:

    https://backpack.tf/item/3292686935

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140382756#!/compare/1756252800/1756339200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240217520#!/compare/1756166400/1756339200


    Burning Vive La France (176 (Outdated)) + 855 Keys ?


    Sale 6

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061234620#!/compare/1750550400/1750896000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198970654800#!/compare/1750204800/1750896000


    Chiroptera Venenata Shellmet (275)(Outdated) + 350 keys + Exorcism Sharp Dresser (5-6 Keys)

    = 670 Keys


    This is the only recent trade for the Shellmet, so no mini here either


    Sale 7

    https://backpack.tf/item/365551050

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198988911055#!/compare/1747094400/1747785600


    Bulk


    Sale 8

    https://backpack.tf/item/277203542

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008181262#!/compare/1716249600/1728000000


    ?


    Sale 9

    https://backpack.tf/item/277398743

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240217520#!/compare/1751932800/1752192000


    ?


    ---------


    TL:DR

    Only usable sales are


    MP.tf


    July 11th

    Sold for 3349.69 $


    Average Key Price on July 11th

    2.02$


    3349.69 / 2.02 = 1658,26 = 1658 Keys

    Rounding to 1650


    https://backpack.tf/item/291674018

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1751760000/1751846400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258001464#!/compare/1751587200/1751846400


    Scorching Pyromancers (1300 (Outdated)) + 250 Keys

    = 1550 Keys


    Scorching Pyromancers Mini:


    https://backpack.tf/item/336240927

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134102947#!/compare/1750636800/1750982400

    Was traded together with a Green Energy Aviator Assassin (82), Lavender Landfall A Hat to Kill For (150) and Cool Secretly Serviced Soda Popper (Battle Scarred) for a Haunted Phantasm Jr Prehistoric Pullover (1750)


    Since all items are up to date that would Put the Pyormancers at 1518 (minus whatever the Soda Popper might be worth.)


    So let's say 1500 + 250 Keys = 1750 Keys


    So

    My final suggestion would be 1650-1750 Keys.

    Or i could do it without rounding the mp.tf sale, so 1658-1750 Keys.


    What do the more experienced people here think ?

      Should / Can I open a new suggestion with that range or is the assumed range for the pyromancers not ok ?