Sale 1:

Sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199493582916#!/compare/1750550400/1750723200

https://backpack.tf/item/13920924134

The taunts on the buyer’s end sold for keys, and some of those keys were used to purchase the hat. The taunt’s new owners match with some of the keys on the seller’s end.

= 9 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with negligible metal for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1752537600/1752624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070736816#!/compare/1741219200/1753228800

https://backpack.tf/item/13920924134

The taunts on the buyer’s end weren’t involved.

= 9 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011594220#!/compare/1750204800/1750291200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1750204800/1750291200

https://backpack.tf/item/14399407152

Untraceable, 4 keys match

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1753833600/1753920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199802955906#!/compare/1752451200/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/item/14399407152

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199802955906#!/compare/1752451200/1754092800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1754006400/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/item/14399407152

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198982154807#!/compare/1749859200/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/14101271668

Holiday Horns Elf Defense matches. Given buy orders at ~11.5 on that, and sellers at ~9.5 here, it shouldn’t be used here.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198982154807#!/compare/1750204800/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/item/14101271668

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197989245511#!/compare/1751068800/1751068800 - no prior compare link

https://backpack.tf/item/14101271668

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100879076#!/compare/1751414400/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1751328000/1751414400

https://backpack.tf/item/14084125078

Backpack buy

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282955986#!/compare/1752364800/1753574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1753228800/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/13959161928

Untraceable STN dump

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1753574400/1753660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442260055#!/compare/1731196800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/item/13959161928

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199493582916#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1751587200/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/item/13920924134

Untraceable, follows the 9 key sale in Sale 1.

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1748131200/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053783254#!/compare/1748131200/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/item/13894427572

Bulk for keys

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199735624439#!/compare/1750550400/1750896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1750809600/1750896000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Natural%20Lights%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-08-10T12:28:39.067Z - labelled as 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14308393191

Untraceable

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199242892949#!/compare/1753228800/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235704407#!/compare/1753660800/1753747200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Natural%20Lights%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-08-10T12:28:39.067Z - labelled as 8 keys + 1.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13923593693

6 keys + 1 ref match

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199154515506#!/compare/1749513600/1751673600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Natural%20Lights%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-08-10T12:28:39.067Z - labelled as 8 keys + 2.77 ref

History not found

Buyer not found

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/14181679037 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14069390220 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/13967815551 - mannco

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31434;5;u325

$24.99, June 15th.

This’ll end up being around 13 keys, which is too high here. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/yEV9QhQ.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14399407152 - ~9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13920924134 - ~9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14393905010 - 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13911522863 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/14308393191 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/13986454710 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/13923593693 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/14084125078 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/14350829744 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/13917006163 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/14308389953 - $24.99

https://backpack.tf/item/13880183723 - $24.99

Highest buyers at ~8.2 keys.

Sales at:

9 (2x)

One of the sales at 9 is invalid as it re-sold to a bot presumably for a loss.

We also have an abundance of gladiator purchases at 8 keys + various other bot dumps, most likely at 8 keys too. 8 is a common trading point, and shouldn’t be excluded here.

Taking 8-9 keys.