Sale 1:

Sold for 11 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1753833600/1753920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204379861#!/compare/1753920000/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/item/14726972052

= 11 keys

Sale 2:

Most likely sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129941017#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

There are 2 pairs of 9 keys on the seller’s end (15948037078 & 15948012828). I can’t tell which one is the right pair, but it’s pretty likely that it sold for 9 keys at this point.

= 9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400 - Near ID: 15876446941

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215748094#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/item/14726754690

= 8 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31445;5;u348

$24.99, May 24th, June 9th, & July 9th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.92, May 24th

$1.93, June 9th

$2.02, July 9th

24.99/1.92 = 13.016, rounds to 13 keys

24.99/1.93 = 12.948, rounds to 13 keys

24.99/2.02 = 12.371, rounds to 12 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241752428#!/compare/1752537600/1753142400 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1753056000/1753142400

https://backpack.tf/item/15936511427

Bulk for Ignited Crest Commonwealth Commando

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1747094400/1747180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199574449080#!/compare/1748304000/1748476800

https://backpack.tf/item/14769782104

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085941614#!/compare/1747699200/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1749600000/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327212449#!/compare/1748736000/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327212449#!/compare/1751155200/1751328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1751241600/1751328000

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

Bulk

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1751846400/1751932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036523429#!/compare/1751846400/1751932800

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036523429#!/compare/1751932800/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752105600/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

Bulk/untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129941017#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

17 keys match on the buyer’s end, most likely bulk for keys.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129941017#!/compare/1754179200/1754179200 - won’t update (checking their backpack directly on steam shows no keys anyway)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838

Untraceable, follows the 9 key sale.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1749427200/1749513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115572261#!/compare/1740960000/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/item/14687786145

Untraceable

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/MwSAamt.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14689152838 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14712764776 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14726754690 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15936511427 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14726972052 - marketplace

Buyers at ~7.9 keys (basically 8 keys given current key sellers vs key price)

Sales at:

8

9 (dumped afterwards)

11

12 (marketplace)

13 (2x, marketplace)

9 being dumped to a bot for less should not make 8 an outlier, even if we ignore all the other bot dumps (#3, #5, #7). With all the bot dumps, we absolutely need to use 8 as our low-end, despite current buyers nearing 8.

4 sellers at 11, I would like to not stray too far from them here. I’ll include the marketplace sale at 12, but won’t exceed that. Excluding 13.

Taking 8-12 keys.