Sale 1:

Sold for 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131440884#!/compare/1749859200/1749945600 - seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258813562#!/compare/1748304000/1750032000 - buyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199021276664#!/compare/1749859200/1749945600 - keys found here

https://backpack.tf/item/14455276684

The buyer sold their spelled Strange Bread Bite for keys and used some of the keys to buy the hat. The buyer of the bread bites, the 3rd link, shows 18 keys going to the seller of the hat.

= 18 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to STN for 16 keys + less than half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141685007#!/compare/1748908800/1748995200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1748649600/1748736000

https://backpack.tf/item/13955230765

= 16 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31428;5;u317

$43, May 19th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.94

43/1.94 = 22.165, rounds to 22 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199833607098#!/compare/1749254400/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131440884#!/compare/1749427200/1749513600

https://backpack.tf/item/14455276684

Untraceable, some keys match, but it sold with other items too, looks like in a trade hold.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/684e997ddd2a95c2e80aa43f - according to this suggestion, they paid 14 keys, but this is still unconfirmed.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874905974#!/compare/1747699200/1747785600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125733556#!/compare/1747612800/1747785600

https://backpack.tf/item/13887936527

Bulk for spelled junk

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103465271#!/compare/1748736000/1748908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141685007#!/compare/1748908800/1748995200

https://backpack.tf/item/13955230765

Sold with Strange Lil’ Bitey for Silver Serenade Oktoberfest, using there

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/5ygkrra.png

https://i.imgur.com/SZQvMxz.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15502894588 - ~18.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13952435085 - 19 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13887936527 - 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13898530833 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/15470585176 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13992088534 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13980673569 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/15133360461 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14593607942 - marketplace

Highest buyer at 15 keys.

Sales at:

16

18

22 (marketplace)

22 is a bit of an outlier given the cheaper sellers. Excluding 22.

16 went to a bot, but there are currently no buyers around 16 keys. Should be fine to use.

Taking 16-18 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/14662970027 - worth noting this one has moved recently, but the buyer hasn’t been scanned.