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Sold with negligible metal for 8 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199154584970#!/compare/1750896000/1751155200
https://backpack.tf/item/13645553378
Seller’s side shows a total of 10 keys + some metal in a group. The metal + 2 of those keys were a separate trade.
https://i.imgur.com/VIn1ccW.png - B/O was 8, just to confirm
= 8 keys
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31394;5;u301
https://backpack.tf/item/13672322254 - most likely one of the July ones
$19, June 30th, July 3rd, 15th, & 21st
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:
$2, June 30th & July 3rd
$2.01, July 15th & 21st
19/2 = 9.5 keys
19/2.01 = 9.453, rounds to 9.5 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048430197#!/compare/1750809600/1751414400
https://backpack.tf/item/15570440634
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110668453#!/compare/1751932800/1752192000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1751846400/1751932800
https://backpack.tf/item/15161073140
Bulk/untraceable
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089121705#!/compare/1749772800/1750032000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882100974#!/compare/1741996800/1751241600
https://backpack.tf/item/14420837192
Untraceable
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198865150469#!/compare/1741910400/1748390400 - won’t update
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1748822400/1748908800
https://backpack.tf/item/13645553378
Untraceable
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004691635#!/compare/1753488000/1753747200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1753574400/1753660800
https://backpack.tf/item/13645047307
Untraceable
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199154584970#!/compare/1754611200/1754697600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1754524800/1754611200
https://backpack.tf/item/13645553378
Untraceable, follows the 8 key purchase
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038427867#!/compare/1754611200/1755043200
https://backpack.tf/item/13639387171
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/item/13698710701 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/13643234802 - scammer
Sellers:
https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Sixth+Sense+Dell+Dynamic
https://i.imgur.com/oHy6EUt.png
https://backpack.tf/item/13645047307 - 8 keys + 13.55 ref
https://i.imgur.com/qTVBBIN.png
https://backpack.tf/item/15161073140 - 9 keys
Sales at:
8
9.5 (4x, marketplace)
The sale at 8 re-sold to a bot, but it would be ridiculous to exclude it here given the current sellers, and the fact that fluctuation in buy/sell orders suggests that this item may not have necessarily re-sold for a loss. Alternatively, while those sellers exist, there are far too many sales at 9.5 keys to suggest excluding 9.5 from the range.
Taking 8-9.5 keys.
Recent sale at ~10.5 on marketplace, which will be high given the unsold at 9. Also, the one on stn sold so it supports the low-end.