Sale 1:

Sold for 32 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1748217600/1748304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845186700#!/compare/1740096000/1748736000

https://backpack.tf/item/12349691540

= 32 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 26 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1754006400/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046580198#!/compare/1753401600/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/item/12219383414

= 26 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415159702#!/compare/1750464000/1750636800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112433827#!/compare/1748908800/1750636800

https://backpack.tf/item/12577230508

= 26 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 24 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000 - Near ID: 15842210778

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415159702#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000

https://backpack.tf/item/12577230508

= 24 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 23 keys + 2.55 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096018615#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000 - 7 keys + 0.55 ref match here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Eerie%20Kraken%20Horror%20Shawl&at=2025-08-18T11:05:23.131Z - labelled as 23 keys + 2.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15840609480

The seller bought a double-spelled hat for 14 keys with some of the keys from the trade.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199093843664#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000 - Near ID: 15840624286

All 14 match with the trade above.

The seller appears to have bought a couple items from scrap.tf as well, visible in their compare link. While I wasn’t able to trace anything in the scrap bot’s compare link, it is highly likely that the remaining keys went there. Counting this as 23 keys.

= 23 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199055181439#!/compare/1750204800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/15470205557

Sold with 2 keys for Psycho-Delic Vaudeville Visor. Given a seller at 20 on the Visor, and buyers at ~23 keys on the Shawl, this’ll be too low here (and too high there).

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1747699200/1747785600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199055461535#!/compare/1747353600/1747872000

https://backpack.tf/item/12577230508

Bulky on both ends, best to not use.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199055461535#!/compare/1747872000/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1747872000/1747958400

https://backpack.tf/item/12577230508

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026605090#!/compare/1748995200/1750032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000

https://backpack.tf/item/12229330676

Backpack buy

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046580198#!/compare/1754092800/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1754697600/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/item/12219383414

Untraceable, follows one of the 26 key sales

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198413022466#!/compare/1748995200/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1749600000/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/item/12182778894

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169544071#!/compare/1750550400/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1754697600/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/item/12205766731

Backpack buy

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/KOKkLeo.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12182778894 - ~23.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15470205557 - ~25.3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13096949762 - ~25.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12713825886 - 27 keys

Many buyers at ~23 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31304;5;u258

https://backpack.tf/item/12205766731 - $54.95

https://backpack.tf/item/12179955259 - $54.95

https://backpack.tf/item/12229330676 - $54.95

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Eerie+Kraken+Horror+Shawl

https://i.imgur.com/evEdfbF.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12219383414 - ~25.8 keys

Sales at:

23

24

26 (2x)

32

32 is an outlier, countered by too many sellers. Excluding 32.

While there are buyers at ~23 keys, we do have a seller for around 23.5 keys (it will round up with a more accurate key price). We also have an abundance of untraceable bot dumps (#3, #5, #6 & #7) that justify using a lone bot purchase at current buy-order price.

Taking 23-26 keys.