Sold for Aurora Skies Hot Spaniel (~21.5 keys) + 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274014817#!/compare/1751500800/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367913155#!/compare/1751328000/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/item/12258073403

= 29 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31294;5;u265

https://backpack.tf/item/12673102421 - July 6th, couldn't find the other one

$84.99, July 6th & 26th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$2.04, July 6th

$1.95, July 26th

84.99/2.04 = 41.662, rounds to 42 keys

84.99/1.95 = 43.585, rounds to 44 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080699720#!/compare/1746403200/1748908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1748822400/1748908800

https://backpack.tf/item/12306322281

Backpack buy

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/item/12202367159

Bulk to STN

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128699385#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1750809600/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/item/15890663316

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1755302400/1755388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032191589 - won't update, but shows in their steam inventory https://i.imgur.com/RNzK1AU.png

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Moth%20Plague%20Starlight%20Sorcerer&at=2025-08-20T07:49:06.657Z - labelled as 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15890663316

Untraceable, though we do see a group of 33 keys on the seller's end.

https://backpack.tf/item/15933851913 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/12275495185 - mannco

Additionally, we have a movement from STN, which is likely to be around 32 keys

https://i.imgur.com/ulbSaW5.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12202367159

Currently being re-sold on marketplace, but since they removed the fucking sellers from there, I can’t see who bought it anymore, and can’t potentially confirm through their compare link.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/Kbrfcx7.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15678204977 - 42 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12306322281 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/12202367159 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/15753031443 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/12826820507 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/12182867244 - $84.99

Sales at:

29

42 (marketplace)

44 (marketplace)

Seller at 42, and the range is pretty wide as is already. Going to exclude 42.

Keeping 29 in the range, with the potential STN sale at 32 and potential sale at 33 as support for the low-end.

Taking 29-42 keys.

Sold for Strange Terror-Watt Trucker's Topper (23) + all the taunts on the buyer's end (~14)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359390706#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428045664#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

https://backpack.tf/item/15481703165

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68aef3940fe503f994076aa2 - Trucker's Topper being updated to 22-24 (23)

= 37 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428045664#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296104441#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

https://backpack.tf/item/15481703165

May have sold for a DBD Trencher's Topper + Crystal Crown Crimbo Cap? Looks like the Crimbo sold immediately for 15 keys + a bunch of cheap cosmetics. It would also appear that 1 key + some cheap cosmetics may also have been involved, but for some reason another inventory appears between the seller and buyer here. It's also likely the seller sold other items involved shortly after the trade.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107138662#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Moth%20Plague%20Starlight%20Sorcerer&at=2025-09-21T10:10:44.601Z - labelled as 27 keys + 6.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/12203555641

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296104441#!/compare/1758067200/1758153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197981954308#!/compare/1758067200/1758412800

https://backpack.tf/item/15481703165

33 keys

We now have an unconfirmed sale at 27, a likely sale at 33, a confirmed sale at 33, and a confirmed sale at 37. I think it's fair to say the range still holds up here. There's 1 buy order at 30 for any effect made some time after this suggestion, and with an (unconfirmed) sale at 27 now, I think it's fair to say the buyer doesn't counter here.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199087017988#!/compare/1759708800/1759795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099206796#!/compare/1759708800/1759795200

https://backpack.tf/item/12404398997

Sold with a Giger Counter (~16) for 46 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099206796#!/compare/1760140800/1760400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375784898#!/compare/1759881600/1760659200

https://backpack.tf/item/12404398997

Untraceable, went to some bot that belongs to something that sounds like a cs gambling thing

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31294;5;u265

https://backpack.tf/item/15753031443

New marketplace sale at $84.99, October 11th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.89

94.88/1.89 = ~45 keys

Can re-suggest at 29-45 if necessary.