Price Suggestion
~35.5 keys
moth plague
Unusual Starlight Sorcerer Moth Plague
154 votes up
11 votes down
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Sold for Aurora Skies Hot Spaniel (~21.5 keys) + 7 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274014817#!/compare/1751500800/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367913155#!/compare/1751328000/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/item/12258073403


= 29 keys


Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31294;5;u265

https://backpack.tf/item/12673102421 - July 6th, couldn't find the other one

$84.99, July 6th & 26th


https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$2.04, July 6th

$1.95, July 26th


84.99/2.04 = 41.662, rounds to 42 keys

84.99/1.95 = 43.585, rounds to 44 keys


Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080699720#!/compare/1746403200/1748908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1748822400/1748908800

https://backpack.tf/item/12306322281

Backpack buy


#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/item/12202367159

Bulk to STN


#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128699385#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1750809600/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/item/15890663316

Untraceable


#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1755302400/1755388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032191589 - won't update, but shows in their steam inventory https://i.imgur.com/RNzK1AU.png

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Moth%20Plague%20Starlight%20Sorcerer&at=2025-08-20T07:49:06.657Z - labelled as 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15890663316

Untraceable, though we do see a group of 33 keys on the seller's end.


https://backpack.tf/item/15933851913 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/12275495185 - mannco


Additionally, we have a movement from STN, which is likely to be around 32 keys

https://i.imgur.com/ulbSaW5.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12202367159

Currently being re-sold on marketplace, but since they removed the fucking sellers from there, I can’t see who bought it anymore, and can’t potentially confirm through their compare link.


Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/Kbrfcx7.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15678204977 - 42 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12306322281 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/12202367159 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/15753031443 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/12826820507 - $84.99

https://backpack.tf/item/12182867244 - $84.99


Sales at:

29

42 (marketplace)

44 (marketplace)


Seller at 42, and the range is pretty wide as is already. Going to exclude 42.

Keeping 29 in the range, with the potential STN sale at 32 and potential sale at 33 as support for the low-end.

Taking 29-42 keys.

    Sold for Strange Terror-Watt Trucker's Topper (23) + all the taunts on the buyer's end (~14)


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359390706#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428045664#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

    https://backpack.tf/item/15481703165

    https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68aef3940fe503f994076aa2 - Trucker's Topper being updated to 22-24 (23)


    = 37 keys


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428045664#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296104441#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

    https://backpack.tf/item/15481703165

    May have sold for a DBD Trencher's Topper + Crystal Crown Crimbo Cap? Looks like the Crimbo sold immediately for 15 keys + a bunch of cheap cosmetics. It would also appear that 1 key + some cheap cosmetics may also have been involved, but for some reason another inventory appears between the seller and buyer here. It's also likely the seller sold other items involved shortly after the trade.

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107138662#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

      https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Moth%20Plague%20Starlight%20Sorcerer&at=2025-09-21T10:10:44.601Z - labelled as 27 keys + 6.22 ref

      https://backpack.tf/item/12203555641

      Untraceable


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296104441#!/compare/1758067200/1758153600

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197981954308#!/compare/1758067200/1758412800

      https://backpack.tf/item/15481703165

      33 keys


      We now have an unconfirmed sale at 27, a likely sale at 33, a confirmed sale at 33, and a confirmed sale at 37. I think it's fair to say the range still holds up here. There's 1 buy order at 30 for any effect made some time after this suggestion, and with an (unconfirmed) sale at 27 now, I think it's fair to say the buyer doesn't counter here.

        Lots of evidence to point towards using this wide range. I think this should be accepted

            No need here I think. This should be close enough. We appreciate you going through sales post-suggestion and commenting them here.